McCann outlines why this isn't a slam dunk - especially depending on which judges are selected. Bear in mind this is a de novo case - meaning starting from new. I assume this means that if they find that the NFL, in their many and varied argument, is deemed to have correctly applied labor law in really just one instance - that doesn't mean the numerous ways in which they didn't trump where it did
Brady's team files new brief in Deflategate case
But in general, I happen to agree with you. I thinking looking to Berman's statistical average of being overturned 8% of the time is likely the best guess of Brady "losing" in this case - and then we also have the option of going back to Berman to address the other issues that he declined to address at the time, just in case the case IS overturned
The only way we lose is if the clerk and chief judge purposefully assign a few right wing anti-labor or worse yet, anti-Patsfans to the case
There's such a huge volume of instances where Goodell failed to act as an arbitrator should - in a ruling from a judge who was clearly disgusted with Goodell's disregard for basic fairness - that I find it difficult to imagine judges overturning such a solid decision of one of their own
But stranger things have happened