mgcolby
Woohoo, I'm a VIP!!!
PatsFans.com Supporter
2021 Weekly Picks Winner
2022 Weekly Picks Winner
2023 Casino Champ
- Joined
- Jan 25, 2005
- Messages
- 10,594
- Reaction score
- 6,636
KC Defense vs Colts Breakdown
Some quick notes first and then some examples. (If someone has the time to add the all 22 video to the example plays later in the post please do)
Things I think the Pats will do offensively
I will try to break down the KC offense but honestly probably won’t have time, have a family medical emergency that brought me to Maine yesterday and this helped take my mind off of it this morning. But if I get some more downtime I will jump on the O side.
Some quick notes first and then some examples. (If someone has the time to add the all 22 video to the example plays later in the post please do)
- Colts were beyond vanilla almost exclusively 11 personnel 56 out of 61 plays. Once they got down by 14 they abandoned any other formation except spread
- The KC defense did not play “great” and the D Line was not all over Luck as the media will have you believe. They had a couple of key plays Tipped Balls and a strip sack. Outside of that Luck pretty much sat in a clean pocket
- Luck was terrible no other way to say it, multiple bad throws, bad/late reads leading to missed opportunities, missed open receivers
- WR’s didn’t help either with dropped balls at key moments
- Colts pretty much abandoned the run which was probably due to the horrendous run blocking. Absolutely terrible run blocking. Whiffed blocks, not sustaining blocks – literally just stopped blocking.
- Secondary coverage had some really good moments in coverage, but overall there were a lot of WR’s running wide open in the secondary and Luck either didn’t see them or threw an inaccurate ball and in at least two key moments the receivers dropped the ball.
- This game was more about the lack of execution by Indy more than it was about KC playing good defense. * Disclaimer: This surprised me after watching the game live. I knew they missed a few opportunities with drops.
- KC was in zone on 40 out of 61 plays or 65%
- KC LB’s have trouble covering the flat
- KC didn’t do much blitzing, I only noted 3 blitzes (probably didn’t write down 1 or 2) for the most part it was a 4 man rush
- LB’s can get lost in zone coverage at times
- RB’s were open in the flat Luck didn’t look at them
- Play 1 on KC defense
- Indy 11 personnel, TE goes in motion R to L, Hand off to Mack they leave the back side defender unblocked by the OL and the TE whiffs on the comeback block, tackle for loss, open running lane if not caught in the backfield
- Indy 11 personnel, TE goes in motion R to L, Hand off to Mack they leave the back side defender unblocked by the OL and the TE whiffs on the comeback block, tackle for loss, open running lane if not caught in the backfield
- Play 2 on KC defense
- Colts go 12 personnel, Z motion reverse toss, should be a huge gain but Mack makes a bad read cuts back inside, LB whiffs on the tackle allowing a 10 yard gain but if Mack actually runs into the proper lane its one on one with a safety in the open field.
- Colts go 12 personnel, Z motion reverse toss, should be a huge gain but Mack makes a bad read cuts back inside, LB whiffs on the tackle allowing a 10 yard gain but if Mack actually runs into the proper lane its one on one with a safety in the open field.
- Play 3 on KC defense
- Ebron wide open drops a first down
- Ebron wide open drops a first down
- Play 4 on KC defense
- TE becomes wide open, Luck is late on the read, no pressure clean pocket, ball is tipped at the line. What stands out is the D-Lineman has his hand up for a second or two prior to Luck throwing the ball and Luck makes no adjustment to get the ball around the defender’s hand.
- TE becomes wide open, Luck is late on the read, no pressure clean pocket, ball is tipped at the line. What stands out is the D-Lineman has his hand up for a second or two prior to Luck throwing the ball and Luck makes no adjustment to get the ball around the defender’s hand.
- Play 5 on KC defense
- KC bites hard on the PA, OL gives great protection, TE has a delayed release, Houston does a great job of getting in the lane and batting down the ball.
- KC bites hard on the PA, OL gives great protection, TE has a delayed release, Houston does a great job of getting in the lane and batting down the ball.
- Play 9 on KC defense
- Great coverage, WR’s are unable to get any separation
- Great coverage, WR’s are unable to get any separation
- Play 10 on KC defense
- Great example of the NT beating the guard to the point and blowing up the play. Mack had a chance to cut back but did not. I point this one out because this is a situation where Sony’s vision and cutback ability could come into play. As well as play 2 above.
- Great example of the NT beating the guard to the point and blowing up the play. Mack had a chance to cut back but did not. I point this one out because this is a situation where Sony’s vision and cutback ability could come into play. As well as play 2 above.
- Play 11 on KC Defense (not going to do all of them I promise)
- Bubble screen and the OL doesn’t even attempt to drive block or hold his block which ends what could have been a big play.
- Bubble screen and the OL doesn’t even attempt to drive block or hold his block which ends what could have been a big play.
- Play 22 on KC Defense (3rd play on 1st drive of the 2nd half)
- Luck scrambles out of the pocket and misses #15 sitting wide open in the soft intermediate outside zone.
- Luck scrambles out of the pocket and misses #15 sitting wide open in the soft intermediate outside zone.
Things I think the Pats will do offensively
- Use the heavy (22) personnel package early and often
- Establishing the pass out of the 22 personnel package via Play action and RB swing passes
- This is a great advantage the Pats have as they can motion from a tight 22 (double TE’s on the line) with Develin and Michel or White in the backfield into multiple spread formations creating mismatches
- I expect them to run a hurry up, but slow down (no huddle, but milking the play clock) offense out of 21 and 22 personnel early to take advantage of the mismatches, KC’s LBs are not good in coverage.
- Once/if they establish a lead they will settle in with the power run.
- This will give the Pats the ability to take a few well timed shots down field
- I expect Gronk to be more of a factor in the passing game this week, he blocked so much last week and will most likely do so again this week that I expect some sneaky chip and go seem routes once they establish the Play action and Run
- The Pats for the most part are going to do what they normally do. They will not have to get to tricky or cute against this defense.
- My biggest concern is ball security, especially with Sony in the run game and Patterson in the return game. The cold weather has a tendency to help put the ball on the ground.
I will try to break down the KC offense but honestly probably won’t have time, have a family medical emergency that brought me to Maine yesterday and this helped take my mind off of it this morning. But if I get some more downtime I will jump on the O side.