I've had this game down as a "gotta worry" game since the schedule came out in April. Now that the season is underway, I don't see any reason to change that view. I have way too much respect for Pete Carroll because we know he's going to have his team ready to play.
Their victory over the Cowboys was impressive (a real beat-down) and they did hang tough with the Cardinals in Arizona before people realized that that was a meaningful accomplishment. I do discount the win over Green Bay for the obvious reasons and they played St. Louis and Carolina basically even over the last two weeks.
It's gonna come down to whether their Offense can keep Brady off the field for big chunks of time. That in turn comes down to whether our D can contain Marshawn (big Vince is gonna have to have a big day) and whether Wilson, with his 70ish Pass Rating, can cause problems for our shaky secondary. Their D limited Rodgers to 220 yards without a TD, but the rest of the resume is impressive on paper but hasn't really been tested, as I don't have Tony Romo or Cam Newton among my top tier QB's and the Cardinals changed QB's during the opener.
Belichick specializes in taking away what an opponent does best, so I'd look for the Pats to flood the box to stop Lynch and dare Wilson to cause trouble.
Crowd noise won't be a factor in play calling since it's been amply documented that the Pats have now streamlined their Offensive calls to one word signals. This isn't Brady's first Rodeo, so I don't worry about him being able to get the snap count off, though the crowd will probably be good for a couple of false starts, which hopefully won't occur at critical junctures.
So, lots of "if's" here, but I see the Pats coming to play and putting up 23--30 points on this D. I'm afraid that we might have to rely on Gostkowski having a big day and maybe coming through in the clutch, which, frankly, worries me.