TheGodInAGreyHoodie
Experienced Starter w/First Big Contract
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As you are probably aware...there is a chart that purportedly assigns a value to each draft pick.
NFL draft-pick value chart - NFL - ESPN
Being bored I took the chart and copied it into excel and played with it.
If we ignore compensatory picks we find that in theory the team that picks first has significantly more value in their picks (4043.2) than the team that wins the SB and picks #32 (1067). In fact the sum total of all seven of the SB winners picks equals about the same as the 15th pick overall (1050). On average each team gets 1898.675.
Here is what each team starts with....
For this exercise I assumed NE won the SB and the Saints lost the SB. The worst case for picks value. But clearly best case from a team perspective.
This is what NE has
When you take away the traded away picks of Carolina they fall to #2 behind Denver (who also traded away 2 picks but is still in first place) leaving the following order for most points: (computing the exact numbers would be a pain because of the rotation, but it accounts for very small number changes)
Denver
Carolina
Buffalo
New England
Bengals
Oakland comes in last.
NFL draft-pick value chart - NFL - ESPN
Being bored I took the chart and copied it into excel and played with it.
If we ignore compensatory picks we find that in theory the team that picks first has significantly more value in their picks (4043.2) than the team that wins the SB and picks #32 (1067). In fact the sum total of all seven of the SB winners picks equals about the same as the 15th pick overall (1050). On average each team gets 1898.675.
Here is what each team starts with....
Code:
1 4043.2
2 3612.4
3 3191.6
4 2770.8
5 2650.5
6 2530.2
7 2409.9
8 2291.6
9 2223.3
10 2155
11 2086.7
12 2018.4
13 1950.1
14 1881.8
15 1813.5
16 1745.2
17 1676.9
18 1608.6
19 1565.4
20 1522.2
21 1454
22 1415.8
23 1377.6
24 1340.6
25 1302.2
26 1264
27 1227.8
28 1191.6
29 1157.4
30 1123.2
31 1089.1
32 1067
For this exercise I assumed NE won the SB and the Saints lost the SB. The worst case for picks value. But clearly best case from a team perspective.
This is what NE has
Code:
1st Round – #17 (OAK – Richard Seymour) 950
1st Round – #32* 590
2nd Round – #33 (CAR – 2010 3rd Round) 580
2nd Round – #64* 270
3rd Round – #74 (MIN – Randy Moss) 220
3rd Round – #96* 116
4th Round 44
5th Round 28.4
6th Round (NO – David Thomas) 16
Total 2814.4
When you take away the traded away picks of Carolina they fall to #2 behind Denver (who also traded away 2 picks but is still in first place) leaving the following order for most points: (computing the exact numbers would be a pain because of the rotation, but it accounts for very small number changes)
Denver
Carolina
Buffalo
New England
Bengals
Oakland comes in last.