primetime
Pro Bowl Player
- Joined
- Jun 15, 2005
- Messages
- 13,627
- Reaction score
- 15,375
I like to read Advanced Football Analytics because it uses statistical models to derive advanced statistics, unlike PFF which is just using qualitative analysis and assigning it numbers so it looks like a metric.
Especially interesting are their defensive statistics, which I like because they seem to match up with a lot of what the general observations on the field say (unlike PFF) though they tend to reveal some things that we may not notice, especially in comparison to other teams. Here's the link to the Patriots individual defensive statistics
(Glossary is here since it's not entirely clear at first what EPA and WPA are)
Some interesting tidbits
Especially interesting are their defensive statistics, which I like because they seem to match up with a lot of what the general observations on the field say (unlike PFF) though they tend to reveal some things that we may not notice, especially in comparison to other teams. Here's the link to the Patriots individual defensive statistics
(Glossary is here since it's not entirely clear at first what EPA and WPA are)
Some interesting tidbits
- Ninkovich has been a top-15 defensive end in the NFL this season by their win probability metrics, which is interesting given the tendency for fans to rag on him. I've always thought Ninkovich's contributions were underappreciated. Chandler Jones doesn't make an appearance in the top-50 defensive ends.
- Chris Jones and Wilfork have both been effective, but Vellano and Siliga were not. Siliga's ineffectiveness was likely injury related, while Vellano was pretty clearly a stiff. Interestingly, Buchanan's 1 game was really good, so it's too bad he got hurt.
- Mayo has been a top-10 linebacker this season, and Hightower has been highly effective as well. Collins has been the least effective starting linebacker. Not a surprise.
- Dennard doesn't qualify for the leader boards since he only played 2 games, but his per game average would place him as the 7th best corner in the league. Revis falls in the top-25.
- McCourty has been okay. Patrick Chung sucks.
- The offensive line has been awful, but not as bad as the Bills or Jets!
- The stats don't like Brady much. That's not a surprise, though he was the third best quarterback this past week, so small sample.
- The stats like Vereen and don't like Ridley. I think they tend to overrate receiving backs a little, though.
- Edelman is a top-20 receiver. Everyone else is not great. Amendola really sucks.
- Tim Wright, in limited action, has been a top-10 tight end on a per play basis.
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