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The Published Wells Report.


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Kind of looks like the refs got to the 4th Colt football, didn't like the pattern emerging and decided to stop there.

So what are we to take away from the Patriot footballs? Our ball boys snuck into the bathroom to remove a tenth of a psi here, half a pound of psi there?

Or maybe, having an official just give generalizations of starting points like "about 12.5" or "around 13.0" shouldn't enough to persecute someone when you are talking about tenths of psi's.

You're missing the obvious connection that they snuck onto the Colts sideline to deflate their balls too...

What a total joke. It's more probable than not that Wells was too busy gargling Goodell's **** to wonder why only 4 balls were checked for the Colts. It's more probable than not that Goodell is actually mentally ******ed.

I think Kraft is done playing nice anymore and I think we're going to have another 2007-type season. I hope we score 105 against the Colts. I hope we run it down their throats using a beach ball.
 
After digesting this a bit, here are some comments:
  • The texts messages do not make it clear whether Brady wanted McNally and Jastremski to deflate the footballs before or after they are given to the refs for measurements. Taken out of context in this report, of course it makes it look like Brady knew they were deflating the balls after they were inspected. In fact, the texts are not clear whether they were doing anything to the ball after or whether they took a needle to the balls before they handed them to the refs for inspection.
  • Speaking of the texts, the one text where they say the refs screwed them and inflated the balls to 16 PSI tells me two things. First, that the air pressure of the ball is not a big deal if the refs overinflate the ball during inspection. Second, that this looks to be evidence that they manipulated air pressure before and not after they give them to the refs.
  • The Wells report was slanted to make the league look good. At one point Wells says that Walt Anderson is very detail oriented and he doesn't make mistakes and then later says that Anderson forgot to sign one of the K Balls. Which is it? Also, they show that everyone in the league office knew about Grigson's email in advance, but did nothing about it. Hard to believe.
  • The Wells report conflicts the science. It says they could not draw any conclusions from the data because it was incomplete, but based on how much each of the Pats' and Colts' balls deflated they couldn't recreate the loss of air in the Pats balls vs. the Colts balls based on weather. Which is it?
  • So the two refs (Blakeman and Priolou) had two very different readings on the PSI of both the Pats and Colts balls. It looks like Wells used Blakeman's numbers which showed a more diverse reading between the Pats' and Colts' balls. Blakeman's readings had the Pats' football readings at lower PSI and the Colts' balls at a higher PSI than Priolou's readings.
CEV1N4yWgAAFBve.png

  • The fact that they had no readings for the balls before hand, only 4 balls of the Colts were measured, and how two different readings by the two refs really calls into question any findings based on the PSI.
  • I think this was spun that Brady was "more probable, than not" guilty so they could find a fall guy and appease the masses to give them someone who will get the punishment of the league. I expect Brady to get a significant suspension for this especially because Wells said he lied in the investigation.
  • Speaking of Brady lying in the investigation. I really have a hard time buying that he would lie about knowing McNally to cover up his involvement. I don't get why he would. McNally is a part time employee who seems to only work on game days. Maybe Brady knows him but doesn't know his name or knows him as a nickname. Even if Brady is lying about being involved, I don't why he would lie about knowing McNally. It would be easier for him to say he knew him and just never told him to ever do anything illegal.
  • I don't get why the fact that there was no record of Brady speaking with Jastremski for six months and the he spent 25 minutes on the phone with him after he got of D&C (where he found out about the incident). I am sure Brady called Jastremski to find out what happened and whether they actually did anything with the balls. I see that as a normal reaction if he was innocent. In fact if he was guilty, I would figured that Jastremski would have contacted Brady long before he got on the air with D&C.
  • For those people countering Pats fans arguing that all this is circumstantial evidence by saying that Aaron Hernandez was convicted by circumstantial evidence, you people need to get a clue. Not all circumstantial evidence is the same and most criminal cases based on circumstantial evidence usually end in a hung jury or outright acquittal. The state's case against Hernandez had an overwhelming amount of circumstantial evidence and Hernandez own lawyer ultimately incriminated his client in the closing arguments.
I expect Brady to get to some kind of a suspension. If Goodell does what he usually does and sticks his finger in the air and sees which way the wind blows, it will be a significant one.

Overall, this report doesn't look good for the Pats. I think McNally looks kinda shady in this. But even so, there is no real evidence showing anything happened. It really looks like Wells' marching orders was to convict the Pats at all cost.
 
I know it won't be particularly liked here, but I ran across this in a comment thread elsewhere and it pretty much hits all my feelings on this

--------

"OK, after reading all the technical part of the report and bits of the others (especially the text message bit), I've come to a few conclusions.

It's clear that McNally probably broke the rules and was intentionally deflating balls in violation of the NFL procedures, on more than one occasion. Jastremski was also apparently in the know, and may even have been the instigator.

It's not clear that McNally or Jastremski intended to deflate the balls to below the 12.5 psi spec. The relatively damning text messages indicate that balls were sometimes inflated to over the desired spec of 12.5 psi, and possibly to be out of spec on the high side, so their intent, or their "job", may have been to make sure nothing was overinflated, rather than to intententionally under-inflate.

The physics analysis pretty clearly indicates that thermodynamic effects account for underinflation of some of the balls, and for all but approximately 0.1 - 0.4 psi of underinflation for the other balls. McNally may have just gone through and stuck the needle in a few of the balls that felt harder, and dropped a few to something like 12.2 psi.

It's clear that Brady was, in some sense, "generally aware" of what is going on. But it's not clear that he actually did anything technically wrong, and certainly there is no evidence that he actually ordered the deflation.

He was providing autographs or similar kickbacks to Jastremski and McNally. However, that in and of itself is not really that damning. These two were, respectively, the guy who inflated the balls and the guy who was supposed to make sure that the refs properly re-inflated to the correct level. Since he's picky about his ball inflation level, giving the autographs to them is likely akin to me being nice to my admin who plans all my travel, so that I don't end up with 3-stop flights and stays in a Motel 6. Similarly, knowing how much of a perfectionist Brady is and how he will get really angry at people, I'm sure anytime a ball in a game felt too hard, he would light into Jastremski and/or McNally for it, whether it was their fault or not.

Given all that, it's likely that Brady asked them to make sure the balls were "soft", that is, inflated to at least the low end of the spec. There is no evidence that he deliberately asked them to deflate them, but I don't ask my admin her secret tricks to getting me the awesome flights that don't show up on Orbitz. There's also no evidence that he indicated to them that the balls should be illegally out of spec, i.e. below 12.5 psi, but he certainly wasn't checking them with pressure gauge, and if they were extra soft, I don't think he would have complained. Just like I don't complain if I find myself booked in a hotel that's above per diem.

So, long and short, it is probable that part-time Patriots employees, being pressured by Tom Brady to make sure the balls weren't too hard, violated game-day procedures and sometimes let some air out of balls.

It is probable that Brady knew they were going "above and beyond" to keep the balls from being too hard, but impossible to prove (unless McNally or Jastremski comes forward and says that they did it and that Brady was aware of it).

It is possible that their intent was to reduce the pressure below 12.5 psi, but also possible that they were merely trying to make sure the balls were at 12.5 psi, i.e. at the low end of the spec. Not enough evidence one way or another.

It is doubtful that Brady directly instructed them to specifically deflate the balls to be out of spec. So his claim that he never intentionally tried to break the rules could be technically true, technically.

It is doubtful that the balls used in the AFC CG were significantly out of spec at kickoff--probably less than half a psi.

It is certain that this had no effect on the outcome of the game."

Why would anyone be bothered by this?

I'll take a wild stab and say this is a comment from football outsiders, it sounds like something someone there would say.
 
At various points in the investigation, counsel for the Patriots questioned the integrity and objectivity of game officials, various NFL executives and certain NFL Security representatives present at the AFC Championship Game or otherwise involved in the investigative process. We found no evidence to substantiate the questions raised by counsel. Specifically, we identified no evidence of any bias or unfairness.
We believe that the game officials, NFL executives, NFL Security representatives and other members of the NFL staff who participated in the testing of the footballs and the subsequent investigative process acted fairly, properly and responsibly.

.... when they decided to gauge 4 of the 12 Colts balls and all of the Pats' balls (except the intercepted one, if I understand this correctly.)

It's like "Even though the Colts' balls are the putative control group, and they only gauged 4 of them, there is no reason to even ask any questions about that in this 100+ day process.

Come on, man.
 
After digesting this a bit, here are some comments:
  • The texts messages do not make it clear whether Brady wanted McNally and Jastremski to deflate the footballs before or after they are given to the refs for measurements. Taken out of context in this report, of course it makes it look like Brady knew they were deflating the balls after they were inspected. In fact, the texts are not clear whether they were doing anything to the ball after or whether they took a needle to the balls before they handed them to the refs for inspection.
  • Speaking of the texts, the one text where they say the refs screwed them and inflated the balls to 16 PSI tells me two things. First, that the air pressure of the ball is not a big deal if the refs overinflate the ball during inspection. Second, that this looks to be evidence that they manipulated air pressure before and not after they give them to the refs.
  • The Wells report was slanted to make the league look good. At one point Wells says that Walt Anderson is very detail oriented and he doesn't make mistakes and then later says that Anderson forgot to sign one of the K Balls. Which is it? Also, they show that everyone in the league office knew about Grigson's email in advance, but did nothing about it. Hard to believe.
  • The Wells report conflicts the science. It says they could not draw any conclusions from the data because it was incomplete, but based on how much each of the Pats' and Colts' balls deflated they couldn't recreate the loss of air in the Pats balls vs. the Colts balls based on weather. Which is it?
  • So the two refs (Blakeman and Priolou) had two very different readings on the PSI of both the Pats and Colts balls. It looks like Wells used Blakeman's numbers which showed a more diverse reading between the Pats' and Colts' balls. Blakeman's readings had the Pats' football readings at lower PSI and the Colts' balls at a higher PSI than Priolou's readings.
CEV1N4yWgAAFBve.png

  • The fact that they had no readings for the balls before hand, only 4 balls of the Colts were measured, and how two different readings by the two refs really calls into question any findings based on the PSI.
  • I think this was spun that Brady was "more probable, than not" guilty so they could find a fall guy and appease the masses to give them someone who will get the punishment of the league. I expect Brady to get a significant suspension for this especially because Wells said he lied in the investigation.
  • Speaking of Brady lying in the investigation. I really have a hard time buying that he would lie about knowing McNally to cover up his involvement. I don't get why he would. McNally is a part time employee who seems to only work on game days. Maybe Brady knows him but doesn't know his name or knows him as a nickname. Even if Brady is lying about being involved, I don't why he would lie about knowing McNally. It would be easier for him to say he knew him and just never told him to ever do anything illegal.
  • I don't get why the fact that there was no record of Brady speaking with Jastremski for six months and the he spent 25 minutes on the phone with him after he got of D&C (where he found out about the incident). I am sure Brady called Jastremski to find out what happened and whether they actually did anything with the balls. I see that as a normal reaction if he was innocent. In fact if he was guilty, I would figured that Jastremski would have contacted Brady long before he got on the air with D&C.
  • For those people countering Pats fans arguing that all this is circumstantial evidence by saying that Aaron Hernandez was convicted by circumstantial evidence, you people need to get a clue. Not all circumstantial evidence is the same and most criminal cases based on circumstantial evidence usually end in a hung jury or outright acquittal. The state's case against Hernandez had an overwhelming amount of circumstantial evidence and Hernandez own lawyer ultimately incriminated his client in the closing arguments.
I expect Brady to get to some kind of a suspension. If Goodell does what he usually does and sticks his finger in the air and sees which way the wind blows, it will be a significant one.

Overall, this report doesn't look good for the Pats. I think McNally looks kinda shady in this. But even so, there is no real evidence showing anything happened. It really looks like Wells' marching orders was to convict the Pats at all cost.
The fact that they say it should be 13 not 16 clearly show they know their legal limits. Its such an important piece which wells seems to ignore.
 
This sums up my opinion about the report

Brady could smell a Rat when he rebuffed Well's request to access his phone.

Look at all of that superfluous stuff from Jastremski and McNally that made it into the "report" and was manipulated to cast aspersions?
 
Its sort of that helpless feeling . Anyone who reads the report objectively knows its BS but you know no one is going to listen or read it objectively especially in the media. Only Jeff Howe on twitter seems to rip apart the report.
 
Funny, and a good point.

Although my first thoughts were: I wonder if Belichick is bothered that he made that video.
I hope not.
 
The fact that they say it should be 13 not 16 clearly show they know their legal limits. Its such an important piece which wells seems to ignore.

It seems clear that Wells came into this investigation with the assumption the Pats were guilty and was trying to prove them guilty rather than an open mind and trying to find the truth.
 
Any mention of the league employee who tried to steal a ball?
 
Thanks for lighting a fire under The Great One's ass. DriveForFive is underway....

Given the league offices terrible track record for punishments that might not be until 2016.

Gooddell just handed the punishment decision to a guy that is in the Eagles hall of fame.
 
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