AtomicDawg
Patriot of the Week
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- Aug 13, 2011
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Yes I think I do. They are about average. 17% success is about average during a three year term of a player working their way into the League. That will determine if the pick was a success. This includes Valuable back ups, Special Teams, Starter, Top tier Starter and Pro Bowl worthy. A high end Drafting Team is 23%-25%.Seriously DW, you don't know what you are talking about. Two long term studies have both concluded the Patriots draft better than any team in football. Your hyper fantastical draft posts have no basis in reality.
We were 2 goddamn Owen Daniels TD's away from having a shot at repeating
Draft Jack and solve the whole covering tight ends in big games problem
Yes I think I do. They are about average. 17% success is about average during a three year term of a player working their way into the League. That will determine if the pick was a success. This includes Valuable back ups, Special Teams, Starter, Top tier Starter and Pro Bowl worthy. A high end Drafting Team is 23%-25%.
That means they have to hit that constantly in a three year evaluation time frame. Teams with bad records actually force feed more starters to skew those numbers. Teams like the Pats and Steelers, Cards etc. don't have those yearly needs so the hits of keepers are fewer because the roster talent is already there.
Teams that consistently pick up a player every Draft class equates to about a 14% success rate. If you get two per class you are average (1.7) after three years surrounding that class.
Use 2011 as an example. We have Solder who I would say is a top tier starter and Cannon who is a JAG and a potential cut of nine picks the 2 of them that are still with the Team. That is 11%.in 2012 you have one Starter remaining and one Special Team Player.etc. You can see where I am going with this. If you say the Pats are top of the heap at 17%-20% there are some scouts across the NFL that need to be working in Wal Mart.
My point is it is a pure guess for every Team. Do not glorify the Pats at 20% success. If you look at it like this, if he has a 40%-50% success rate in the Draft , than his pre-Draft roster was poopy with limited talent. It's a trade off.
DW Toys
Tavon WilsonWhat's the point of this of kind of negativity?
That's the hope, save the special teams aces for the bounty of 6th rounders we have.Probley won't happen this year.
There's this other category . . . it's called playing for other teams. . . .
2011
1 Nate Solder = Patriots
2 Ras-I Dowling = Panthers (PS)
2 Shane Vereen = Giants
3 Stevan Ridley = Lions
3 Ryan Mallett = Ravens
4 Marcus Cannon = Patriots
5 Lee Smith = Raiders
6 Markell Carter = CFL
7 Malcolm Williams = out of league
Given that 2/3 of the players are still on someone's 53, I'd say that the worst you can say about this draft is that it was "solid." Yes, most of them are playing for other teams now, but you can't hold on to everyone. That's just the way the salary cap works.
Tavon Wilson
Duron Harmon (though I like Harmon)
Jordan Richards
Three out of the last four drafts
I don't care.So what. It's still stupid to criticize something before it even happens. The negativity in this forum is f.cking ridiculous.
So what unheard of safety will we be getting this year?
Tavon Wilson
Duron Harmon (though I like Harmon)
Jordan Richards
Three out of the last four drafts
3 out of the last 4 years.That makes sense.
True, to be fair it's too early to tell on Richards.Tavon Wilson signed a contract with Detroit early in FA, Duron Harmon was worth the 3rd round pick used on him, too early to say on Richards.