You continue to posit that BB drafts by immediate need. I disagree with that. I also disagree that a 32nd pick is likely to have an immediate impact.
I could definitely see him picking a player who could be a situational rusher, while learning.
We don't pick 10-15, we pick 32. To say we will only pick certain positions, for a player who is a borderline 2nd rounder, ignores the fact that a good many picked in that area will never be an impact NFL player.
1) You continue posting that Belichick ignores need. I strongly disagree with that position. As of March 31, we have three major needs for 2015 (and going forward). I do NOT think that Belichick will ignore these needs as he make the 1st, 2nd or 5th pick in the top 101. Perhaps these needs, or the additional needs at LB and RB will be met before the draft, or not.
2) I agree that the #32 pick is unlikely to have a major immediate impact. I would note, that this player COULD have an immediate impact if he were an OG or an LT who can start at LG (Fisher sort of stands out as a possibility). However, I do believe that such a player should have some impact as a role player.
3) You seem to believe that EDGE rushers will be of much higher VALUE at 32 than the corners, offensive linemen and DT's. Surely, if Belichick isn't considering need, VALUE is even more important. Many, many, many projections have very high value players available at these positions.
Why do YOU believe that an EDGE rusher will be of higher value at 32 than corners, guards, and defensive tackles?
4) Yes, the draft is a crap shoot, at 16, at 32, at 48, or at 96. That does NOT mean that Belichick should not even try to find future starters as he makes his SIX picks in the first four rounds. After all, it was Round 4 where Belichick sought and found our starting center in 2014 (and in the 5th in an earlier time).
5) Finally, Belichick does not allow immediate need to drive each of his draft choices. Future needs and value are much more important. HOWEVER, in some drafts, Belichick focuses on meeting NEEDS at a particular positions, sometimes going into the draft with a weakness and drafting 2 TE's, 2 DB's, 2 RB's or two front seven defensive players. To suggest that Belichick ignores need is simply inaccurate.
The OPEN question is the seriousness of our present and future needs. I would put EDGE rusher as the number 9 need, but that's just my personal view. I think that most others put no higher than 4th.
THE TOP FIVE NEEDS FOR 2015 and 2016
CB - We have Arrington and Ryan signed for 2016 (and I guess Butler would be here as an ERFA). How can this not be a serious need for the future?
LG - We have Kline as a starter, and Devey as his backup. This is listed second only because the need can, if necessary, be met later in the draft. A pick in the first two rounds is not critical.
DT - OK, we like Branch and Siliga. However, Wilfork is gone, and we need additional help inside.
LB - Where is our crystal ball? How much can we count on the new medical staff. Hightower and Mayo are not ready. We don't know when they will be in game shape. And we don't know when they will be anywhere near 100%. How bad is this need? McClain visited yesterday.
RB - Who is "starting" opposite Blount? Who is our running back of the future? We are OK at 3rd down RB with Cadet, McClain and even Bolden. Are we really counting on one of Gray, Gaffney and Lewis to be a major contributor in 2015 and 2016?
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ADDITIONAL NEEDS
OT - We seem OK, if Cannon or Fleming can play LT. After all, Solder is not signed for 2016. An LT who can play LG is an obvious compromise that would meet this potential need.
WR - Belichick seems to think that we need more competition. We have Amendola on a very cheap contract. Perhaps a competitor for #3 is in order.
a second OG - We are replacing Connolly with one draft choice. We need another player. We certainly don't want BOTH Kline and Devey on the 53 man roster.
DE - Yes, and then there is DE. We have Jones, Ninkovich and Sheard for 2015 and 2016. We have prospects in Moore and Buchanan. We also have Easley, who had played De in certain circumstances.
We have what we had last year, PLUS Sheard. Hopefully, Moore or Buchanan can contribute. IMHO, looking for Ninkovich's replacement is low on the priority list. I have the DE need as Need #9.
THAT BEING SAID
If Belichick can find very high value at DE at 32 or 64, he certainly might draft a DE. I just don't see this happening. IMHO, if a player isn't available at good value in one of the top positions of 2015 or 2016 need, then I see Belichick trading up, down or into 2016, rather than drafting a DE with our #32 or #64 pick.