May only be of interest to me per the "When you look throughout the league, most of the quarterbacks are 1st rounders":
By QB rating this past season, 14 of the top 32 stat eligible QBs, 6 of the top 10, and the top 3 were drafted outside of the 1st Round. 3 were drafted in the 20s (late 1st).
Out of those top 32 eligible QB rating QBs, the 1st rounders had a 52.1% win percentage in the regular season. The ones drafted outside the 1st had a 51.1% win percentage.
(Rest of the 1st rounders: 18-17 for 51.4%. Rest of the outside 1sters: 21-37 for 36% - Note that there are a surprising number of udfa out there starting games.)
Out of anyone who started a game, Mason Rudolph (3rd) at 3-0 had the highest QB rating. Brock (7th) was 1st last year (5-0) and 1st again this year for eligibles (and 2nd to Rudolph if including all starters).
If you could take any QB today from any team for the next 3 season I think most would take in some order:
Mahomes, Jackson, Allen, Herbert, Stroud, Burrow, Love. All 7 are 1st round picks.
Could you argue Prescott in there? Maybe but I think by now most realize he is never going to be good enough to get you over the hump.
Those stats are interesting, but Statistics tell a story but not the whole story.
I think he meant the best QB's are first rounders. If you want to compete for playoffs every year it is best to have a top 10 QB. Top 10 QB's are predominately first rounders.
The Athletic ranked the QB's before 2023 season by talking to 50 coaches and talent evaluators in the NFL
The Only had 5 ranked as tier 1 Quarterback's.
Mahomes, Burrow, Allen, Rodgers, Herbert (100% first round QB's)
Tier 2
Hurts, Jackson, Lawrence, Prescott, Stafford, Watson, Cousins. So 75% of top 12 were first rounders.
I'm pretty sure CJ Stroud would replace Cousins.
Watson would be replaced, probably by Love
SO basically, if you want a top 10 QB you almost have to draft him in the first round. You can luck into 1 after that but odds go way, way down.