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2024 NFL Draft Thread (Continued..)


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The 1st round rated players end long before 23.

That's what Scouts have been saying for a while now.

It appears Caserio agrees.
With all the really good WRs in the draft, I don't believe that.

I was surprised when I saw the trade (thought Minni won it cleanly), though, so maybe there's something to your point.
 
With all the really good WRs in the draft, I don't believe that.

I was surprised when I saw the trade (thought Minni won it cleanly), though, so maybe there's something to your point.
It seemed that way to me too (Minny winning). I agree. But maybe the idea about value in this draft is prevalent across the league by now.

As for WRs, we can't forget that Treylon Burks had all the measurables, was a stud in college, and he has utterly failed in the NFL. Quentin Johnson was no great hakes either.
 
The 1st round rated players end long before 23.

That's what Scouts have been saying for a while now.

It appears Caserio agrees.
I dunno man. There's probably 5-6 OTs and maybe as much as 10 WRs . We know for sure there's no less than 3 QBs. That's 19 and I have not looked at any other positions. Clearly, the Vikings see value.
 
It seemed that way to me too (Minny winning). I agree. But maybe the idea about value in this draft is prevalent across the league by now.

As for WRs, we can't forget that Treylon Burks had all the measurables, was a stud in college, and he has utterly failed in the NFL. Quentin Johnson was no great hakes either.
I disagree 100% Burks had decent Rookie year plus injury 11 games a disappointing second year injured again but Tennessee had problems. I think Burks Breakouts this season. On Quentin Johnson this is his Second year some WR's take off in year two Johnson have all the tools. You care casting judgments way too early of those two but that's you being you. :rolleyes:
 
The 1st round rated players end long before 23.

That's what Scouts have been saying for a while now.

It appears Caserio agrees.
From what I recall, it's very rare for a draft to have '1st round talent' beyond 15-20.
 
The 1st round rated players end long before 23.

That's what Scouts have been saying for a while now.

It appears Caserio agrees.
And Caserio's word is gospel now?? He got got lucky with Stroud remember that's who Frank Reich wanted in the First place but the foolish Carolina owner overruled him. That said the 2024 Draft is Deep at the Three Positions we Suck at QB - WR and OT.
 
The 1st round rated players end long before 23.

That's what Scouts have been saying for a while now.

It appears Caserio agrees.
Since the combine it seems more players are getting rated higher. For example, this horizontal board from Rob Staton only had 20 first round talents before the combine and 25 now. You're in the range at 23 where the first-round talent thins out and depending on the team you may find some that think there are only 20 and some think there are 30.

 
Kenny Pickett to the Eagles for a draft pick swap. I guess the Steelers had enough of him
 
I dunno man. There's probably 5-6 OTs and maybe as much as 10 WRs . We know for sure there's no less than 3 QBs. That's 19 and I have not looked at any other positions. Clearly, the Vikings see value.
Unless they're only doing this to entice a team like the Patriots into thinking they've gotten "nominal" value in a trade-down.
 
I disagree 100% Burks had decent Rookie year plus injury 11 games a disappointing second year injured again but Tennessee had problems. I think Burks Breakouts this season. On Quentin Johnson this is his Second year some WR's take off in year two Johnson have all the tools. You care casting judgments way too early of those two but that's you being you. :rolleyes:
You like what Treylon Burks is doing on a per game basis? 2 catches a game?

Let me put his production side-by-side with another WR, I won't tell you which is which or who the other receiver is, but you tell me if you think both receivers are bad, doing OK, or doing well.

WR#1
45 receptions over 21 games played
81 targets
46% pass completion ratio to targets
4 TDs

WR#2
49 receptions over 22 games played
84 targets
47% pass completion ratio to targets
1 TD

Which WR do you like better?
 
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Since the combine it seems more players are getting rated higher. For example, this horizontal board from Rob Staton only had 20 first round talents before the combine and 25 now. You're in the range at 23 where the first-round talent thins out and depending on the team you may find some that think there are only 20 and some think there are 30.

Thanks for this. Seems they're looking at measurables rather than play.
 
And Caserio's word is gospel now?? He got got lucky with Stroud remember that's who Frank Reich wanted in the First place but the foolish Carolina owner overruled him. That said the 2024 Draft is Deep at the Three Positions we Suck at QB - WR and OT.
We've had reports from Scouts saying the same thing for months. Now Caserio actually trades out of that spot for little return. This reinforces the scouts. We've been talking about this in the draft forum for quite awhile, and we've been saying DON'T TRADE OUT OF THE TOP 10.
 
You like what Treylon Burks is doing on a per game basis? 2 catches a game?

Let me put his production side-by-side with another WR, I won't tell you which is which or who the other receiver is, but you tell me if you think both receivers are bad, doing OK, or doing well.

WR#1
45 receptions over 21 games played
81 targets
46% pass completion ratio to targets
4 TDs

WR#2
49 receptions over 22 games played
84 targets
47% pass completion ratio to targets
1 TD

Which WR do you like better?
Setting him up to choose Harry aren’t we?
 
We've had reports from Scouts saying the same thing for months. Now Caserio actually trades out of that spot for little return. This reinforces the scouts. We've been talking about this in the draft forum for quite awhile, and we've been saying DON'T TRADE OUT OF THE TOP 10.

Top 8
 
With all the really good WRs in the draft, I don't believe that.

I was surprised when I saw the trade (thought Minni won it cleanly), though, so maybe there's something to your point.
I normally average about 8-15 1st round grades a year and don't expect that to change this year.

Great year if you need OL, WR, CB(nickel specifically),or QB. After that it's a pretty average - weaker class

I think people are seriously overestimating the talent at WR. There will probably be more talent this year scattered throughout when we look back in a few years but I think fans/media are going overboard.

You have the big 3 but you can pick at them if you want. Nabers inability against press, MHJ yac/mtf metrics and Odunze didn't breakout until later in college.

Outside of TD Brian Thomas had a pretty average year. Franklin and Nabers pass a lot of test but both are light especially Worthy.

Mitchell and Coleman have terrible yprr (yards route ran) which is a decent indicator to look for translation. Legette was absolutely awful until his 5th year. He had obstacles but when you're looking at WR early production/breakout matters a lot. Fuys like Pearsall, Cowing are 24 too. Ladd never had a 60/800 year despite not many NFL quality WR’s in front of him.

I could go on.

Look it's a really good class but the likelihood of you finding a WR1 after the big 3 is the same as other years.

I really like the class but think we've reached a tipping point.

Thanks for this. Seems they're looking at measurables rather than play.
That's how teams get specific though. It's tough to build a board by who "played" the best when you bring in context. Thats why arm length, H/W, movement skills etc are factored in.
 
We've had reports from Scouts saying the same thing for months. Now Caserio actually trades out of that spot for little return. This reinforces the scouts. We've been talking about this in the draft forum for quite awhile, and we've been saying DON'T TRADE OUT OF THE TOP 10.
If we don't come away with one of Alt, Nabers, Odunze, Maye, Harrison etc it will be tough to sell this draft as a win. We have to stay in the top 7-10.
 
Malik Washington will be an All-pro WR soon. I see a young Antonio Brown. He can play the slot as well as out wide. Top 3 in the nation vs man coverage. Also, just found out that he was top 4 in the nation in contested catch rate at 65%; catching 11 of 17 qualifying balls. That’s insane at 5’9”
 
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If we don't come away with one of Alt, Nabers, Odunze, Maye, Harrison etc it will be tough to sell this draft as a win. We have to stay in the top 7-10.
It definitely hurts a team like the Pats….ie. strong roster on defense, but lots of holes on offense…..that this draft is relatively devoid of blue chip defensive players. 9 out of the first 10 players, or even potentially 1-10 could be offensive players. I agree that it is risky to drop to 11 because of that. You’d have to hope that two of Turner, Arnold and Mitchell get picked in the top 10. If they got unlucky in the regard, Bowers would be a consideration at 11.

Alt wouldn’t be a sexy pick but he seems like the safest bet of any player in this years draft to be a high level starter for the next decade, and at a premium position no less. I’d be ok with them missing out on the top 3 WRs as long as they are able to snag Thomas later in the first. He may end up being this year’s JJ.
 
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