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The Uncle Heatster 2-Round Mock Draft, May 1st

Discussion in 'Patriots Draft Talk' started by dryheat44, May 1, 2014.

  1. dryheat44

    dryheat44 Rookie

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    #75 Jersey

    I think this is it, unless a pick gets traded between now and the draft. Enjoy:

    1 Houston - TRADE TO ATLANTA. Atlanta's spending way to much time with Clowney, and I think they've made the decision to get him, cost be damned. Let's figure on next year's #1 going to Houston, as Atlanta will bet on themselves to be much improved, and will hang on to this years #2 pick in this deep draft. There will likely be other compensation irrelevant to this mock. The pick is Jadeveon Clowney DE South Carolina.

    2 St. Louis - The Rams would love to trade down here, and if anybody is hot for Mack, this is the spot. Would the Bills want to keep him in Buffalo. They'd probably love to, but not at the cost involved. Would Houston go back up? It would probably cost them most of what they just acquired, so that seems unlikely. Forced to stay here, Jeff Fisher goes with the bloodlines over the post-season riser. Jake Matthews OT Texas A&M

    3 Jacksonville - This pick hasn't changed yet. At this stage, Jacksonville needs to try to win games with defense. Khalil Mack DE Buffalo

    4 Cleveland - TRADE TO OAKLAND. Raleigh McKenzie makes a slight trade up to get his man - Greg Robinson OT Auburn

    5 Cleveland (from Oakland) - TRADE TO BUFFALO. While obviously Sammy Watkins would improve Cleveland, as he would every other team in the league, he's a luxury they really can't afford. Buffalo, on the other hand, needs someone exactly like him. Sammy Watkins WR Clemson. Again, the compensation won't affect this mock, so I'll leave it out.

    6 Houston (via Atlanta) - I've changed my thinking on QBs here. I'm putting the Texans on Blake Bortles QB Central Florida.

    7 Tampa Bay - Doesn't matter who the QB is, they'll look a lot better with Jackson and Mike Evans WR Texas A&M bookending the field.

    8 Minnesota - I don't think Minnesota was planning on taking a QB here, but I don't think they anticipated Johnny Manziel QB Texas A&M to be available. That's 3 Aggies in the top 8 picks. Alabama who?

    9 Cleveland (from Buffalo) - TRADE TO CHICAGO. Cleveland is playing this game so beautifully, I fear I'm over-estimating Ray Farmer. I think the Bears are eyeballing Aaron Donald DT Pittsburgh, and figure it unlikely he'll make it to 14. In this scenario, they have many picks in the third-through-fifth rounds.

    10 Detroit - I think Eric Ebron could fall until late in the first, but Detroit 1) Didn't want Pettigrew back this year, 2) Let leak their infatuation with Watkins and Evans, whom they were unable to get, 3) Didn't want Pettigrew back this year, 4) Couldn't improve on Pettigrew in the free agent market, 5) Didn't want Pettigrew back this year, and 6) Still have Pettigrew as their starting tight end. Eric Ebron TE North Carolina.

    11 Tennessee - Regardless of who's behind center, fortifying the offensive line is a prudent move. Taylor Lewan OT Michigan

    12 NY Giants - The Giants also need reinforcements in the interior line positions. This dovetails nicely with the availability of Zack Martin OL Notre Dame

    13 St. Louis - The Rams defense is quite obviously the strength of the team, but they could use another good corner to make them an elite unit. Justin Gilbert CB Oklahoma St.

    14 Cleveland (from Chicago) TRADE TO DALLAS - There's no way Jerruh Jones is going to resist trading up to make headlines...even if there's no good reason for doing so. Anthony Barr LB UCLA

    15 Pittsburgh - Blah, Blah, Blah, Darqueze Dennard CB Michigan St

    16 Cleveland (from Dallas) - We all know that the Browns need a quarterback, and they've been closely tied to Derek Carr. I'm going in another direction, though, and giving them the guy who not only looks the part, but played in a Pro-Style offense. -- Zach Mettenberger QB LSU

    17 Baltimore - I had Nix going here before, and now that Hakuna Matata, has turned down a lucrative extension, I feel more solid in this projection. Experts say he's slipping, but he's a fairly unique player in this draft. People say that a wide-body with limited pass-rushing ability is of diminishing value in today's "Passing League", and I say Bull. If you, as a defense, cannot stop an opponent from running up the middle, they will do it over, and over, and over again, regardless of their passing ability. Louis Nix DT Notre Dame

    18 NY Jets - Awesome -- I can finally give the Jets a defensive player in the first. Ha Ha Clinton-Dix S Alabama can join former teammate Millner in the secondary and the Jets can go back to trying to win games 9-7.

    19 Miami - The Dolphins are pretty well built at their skill positions and defense. They could use a linebacker and some offensive tackle help, and could potentially trade back if somebody wants to draft a QB here. Or they could pull the trigger on Morgan Moses. But I think the right play here is a WR, perhaps Odell Beckham WR LSU

    20 Arizona - The Cardinals could go many different ways here (LB, OT, QB), but to score points in the NFC West, they need another playmaker. Brandin Cooks WR Oregon St is the call.

    21 Green Bay - Once upon a time, the Packers -- already possessing a future HOF quarterback -- spend a first round pick -- possibly even #21 -- to nab a free-falling quarterback. That's not going to happen here. Playmaker Charles Woodson out, playmaker Calvin Pryor S Louisville in.

    22 Philadelphia - Chip Kelly's devotion to offense might be somewhat overstated. They might want to replace DeSean (French for Of Sean), but the logical move is Timmy Jernigan DT Florida St

    23 Kansas City - TRADE TO JACKSONVILLE. Jacksonville is probably (justifiably) concerned that Cincinnati could go QB here or that those teams at the top of the second could trade up starting now. Now, it's possible that Jacksonville could sit tight and take whomever's left of Bridgewater, Carr, Garoppolo, Murray or Savage, but with Kansas City looking to take on of the next tier receivers, and not a lot of trade activity here, Jacksonville can get a good deal to move up and get their choice. Teddy Bridgewater QB Louisville

    24 Cincinnati - What this defense is missing is Ryan Shazier LB Ohio St.

    25 San Diego - Everybody loves tall corners these days. Tall corners are the new black. But I'd still rather have a good small corner than an average tall corner, so with apologies to Roby and Fuller, I'm taking the superior cover guy. Jason Verrett CB Texas Christian

    26 Cleveland - I think that CJ Mosely LB Alabama would look good next to Dansby in the middle of the defense.

    27 New Orleans - The defense having been largely rebuilt, it's time for the Saints to replenish the skill positions. Marquise Lee WR USC

    28 Carolina - The Panthers are fairly desperate for a WR they can pull off the shelf and plug into the opening day lineup. In this draft, that's Allen Robinson WR Penn St

    29 New England - Right now, I have three guys left with first round grades in Ealy, Hageman, and Roby, and I'd listen to arguments for Su'a-Filo, Ward, and maybe even Latimer. Derek Carr, among other QBs, is here for the taking, but the first team to have interest would be Oakland, and I'm not sure I would drop back that far without a significant premium. For me, this comes down to what type of player (Ealy or Hageman) would help more -- a rotational DE and designated pass rusher, or an unstoppable interior penetrator with maybe some schematic versatility, and how comfortable BB is with their character. I think both are valuable, but I think someone to come in and spell Jones and Ninkovich every so often and is squeaky-clean off the field wins. Kony Ealy DE Missouri I do also want to postulate that Derrick Morgan of the Titans, who was one of my favorite players his draft year, doesn't seem to fit in their new 3-4 defense. If BB trades a late pick for him, which I'd advocate, this pick would swing to Hageman.

    30 San Francisco - They could use speed at receiver (Moncrief), a 5 technique (Hageman), some Aldon Smith insurance (Ford) and another cornerback (Roby). I guess if I'm the brain trust here, I go with the unique player in Rashede Hageman DL Minnesota, who can rotate with Justin Smith and ultimately take over for him and upholding that terrifying presence at that spot.

    31 Denver - There are some interesting pieces on defense which the Broncos would benefit from, but I think some interior protection for Manning is the first order of business. Xavier Su'a-Filo G UCLA

    32 Seattle - This pick should either go to an offensive lineman or a cornerback. I think the versatility and talent of Joel Bitonio OL Nevada pushes him into the first round.
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  2. dryheat44

    dryheat44 Rookie

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    #75 Jersey

    2nd Round

    33 Houston - Bradley Roby CB Ohio St

    34 Washington - TRADE TO TENNESSEE. Washington needs to recoup some picks they traded away this year and last. Tennessee moves up to nab AJ McCarron QB Alabama, aka the Anti-Locker.

    35 Cleveland - Kyle Fuller CB Virginia Tech

    36 Oakland - Derek Carr QB Fresno St

    37 Atlanta - Austin Sefarian-Jenkins TE Washington

    38 Tampa Bay - Dee Ford DE Auburn

    39 Kansas City (from Jacksonville) - Jace Amaro TE Texas Tech

    40 Minnesota - Stephon Tuitt DL Notre Dame

    41 Buffalo - Morgan Moses OT Virginia

    42 Washington (from Tennessee) - JaWuan James OT Tennessee

    43 NY Giants - Jimmie Ward S Northern Illinois

    44 St. Louis - Jimmy Garoppolo QB Eastern Illinois

    45 Detroit - TRADE TO MIAMI. Cyrus Kouandjio OT Alabama
    46 Pittsburgh - Jordan Matthews WR Vanderbilt

    47 Dallas - DeMarcus out, Demarcus Lawrence DE Boise St in.

    48 Baltimore - Scott Crichton DE Oregon St

    49 NY Jets - Kyle Van Noy OLB Brigham Young

    50 Detroit (from Miami) - Deone Bucannon S Washington St

    51 Chicago - Tom Savage QB Pittsburgh

    52 Arizona - Aaron Murray QB Georgia

    53 Green Bay - Troy Niklas TE Notre Dame

    54 Philadelphia - Cody Latimer WR Indiana

    55 Cincinnati - Weston Richburg C Colorado St

    56 San Francisco (from Kansas City) - Donte Moncrief WR Mississippi

    57 San Diego - Martavis Bryant WR Clemson

    58 New Orleans - Dominique Easley DT Florida

    59 Indianapolis - Bishop Sankey RB Washington

    60 Carolina - TRADE TO SEATTLE. File this in the "Schucks!" Dept. Sensing the Patriots are in play for a tight end, Seattle trades up slightly for CJ Fiedorowicz TE Iowa. Good thing we've signed Keller by now.

    61 San Francisco - Marcus Smith LB Louisville

    62 New England - Unless you believe there's a tight end worth taking here, I think the choices are interior OL (Yankey), LB (Bradford), S (Brooks/Bailey), or RB (Sims). In my first mock, I had them trading this pick to Tampa, although I don't remember for whom. But I'll keep the trade and TRADE TO TAMPA BAY for 69 and 143. Tampa selects Phillip Gaines CB Rice

    63 Denver - DaQuan Jones DT Penn St

    64 Carolina (from Seattle) - Carlos Hyde RB Ohio St

    Pats draft:
    29. Ealy
    62. Trade for 69 and 143 (Tampa)
    69. Terrence Brooks S Florida St
    93. David Yankey G Stanford
    130.Kevin Norwood WR Alabama
    140.Preston Brown LB Louisville
    143.Jake Murphy TE Utah
    198.Rajion Neal RB Tennessee
    206.Prince Shembo LB Notre Dame
    244.Garrett Gilbert QB Southern Methodist
    Top 10 UDFAs:
    QB Jeff Mathews Cornell
    QB Bryn Renner North Carolina
    RB Antonio Andrews Western Kentucky
    RB David Fluellen Toledo
    WR Tre Burton Florida
    TE Gator Hoskins Marshall
    C Tyler Larsen Utah St
    S Nat Berhe San Diego St
    LB Tyler Starr South Dakota
    TE Justin Jones East Carolina
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  3. everlong

    everlong Rookie

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    #12 Jersey

    Great job and well thought out.
  4. doesntmatter1

    doesntmatter1 Rookie

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    I like the logic behind a lot of your selections, but I would be very disappointed if our draft resembled this one. The main culprit for me is Kony. I just don't see it from him.
  5. Gronkandez

    Gronkandez Rookie

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    I like the top of this draft. I'm intrigued by your trade down scenarios for the Browns, however, they already have (2) 1st, 3rd and 4th round picks in addtion to their pick in rounds 2,5,6&7. At some point they have to get players and I don't think reaching for Mettzenberg is the answer. I can see them trading down a little and taking one of the top 4 tackles to play RT for them. This will solify the line, give the team an identity and make it easier for the future QB/Hoyer to suceed. Then they can get a QB later, a WR, RB and some defensive parts.

    In this scenario I think the Browns should stay at #9 and take Justin Gilbert..maybe even Ha Ha Clinton Dix. They have plenty of picks to address there offensive needs later on.
    Last edited: May 1, 2014
  6. cstjohn17

    cstjohn17 PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    #54 Jersey

    Incredible job, this takes an enormous amount of time. Nice job.

    Plus 1/2 the players for the Patriots I have never heard of which make them much more realistic.
  7. mgteich

    mgteich PatsFans.com Veteran PatsFans.com Supporter

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    I found the placing of quarterbacks and tight ends interesting. The NINE top quarterbacks are all gone by 52. The top 5 tight ends are all gone by 60.

    I agree that there is a large gap between this group of QB's and TE's and the rest.

    I can see the trade down from 62. I would find Hyde, and Jones, tempting there.
    Last edited: May 1, 2014
  8. VrabelJr

    VrabelJr Rookie

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    I like Kony Ealy. I think he can eventually be a 3 down starter at LDE. We need some size at that position.
  9. scott99

    scott99 Rookie

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    #87 Jersey

    I like Kony Ealy A LOT ! I think he has the potential to be just as good as Chandler Jones.
  10. BobDigital

    BobDigital Rookie

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    Great job. Some interesting changes between this and your last draft. I guess you are following the current whispers about QBs falling out of the top half of the first round.

    I might want to take another stab at my 2 round mock to reflect that.
  11. dryheat44

    dryheat44 Rookie

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    #75 Jersey

    Well, I think Atlanta is doing far too much work to not get Clowney, and once you switch Atl with Hou, the first round changes drastically.
  12. sircole

    sircole Rookie

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    Great list with very thorough explanations about each of your picks.

    And right now, I agree with you in bringing as many QBs as possible into camp because I just can't get a great feeling for any of the QBs in the draft.
  13. State

    State Rookie

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    #70 Jersey

    Superb, well-though-out mock, Heaster. I don't like Detroit's selection of Ebron. I think the rumors are true, that they plan on taking Ha-Ha if he's there, when the expected top nine player are gone. If Lewan it available or Dennard at CB, they might go there, too. Both are in-state players that will generate excitement.

    And TE Niklas is _no way_ in hades going before WR Cody Latimer.
  14. dryheat44

    dryheat44 Rookie

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    #75 Jersey

    You're probably right on that. There were four players that I originally had going later than I wanted, so I re-examined it this morning. Latimer is the one I forgot.
  15. ashley1992

    ashley1992 Rookie

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    #12 Jersey

    I love reading different mock drafts. I think you did a great job and put a lot of work into it. Interesting you think Mettingberger is going so high, will be very interesting to see how it all plays out.
  16. everlong

    everlong Rookie

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    #12 Jersey

    Latimer is a guy people had going in the 5 or 6 in Feb and I was thinking god this kid will be a steal. Now I've seen him in the first round in some mocks sadly.

    :mad:
  17. Brady6

    Brady6 On the Roster

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    #12 Jersey

    Although I do not agree with many of the picks, I think you did an excellent job and I know how much work goes into it so this is very impressive and well thought out.
  18. patfanken

    patfanken On the Roster

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    #91 Jersey

    I guess you can put me into the "thoroughly enjoyed reading it"/"didn't much like the way it turned out" group. ;)

    But seriously, I find myself much more confused and indecisive that I was a few weeks ago. This draft process HAS gone on too long. I am clearly on informational overload. I just don't know anymore. I've been on Hageman since the late February and to see him surprisingly there and not take him, was hard, but I could see youf thought process.

    I liked the Yankey pick since I can see him being the big presence at C we are currently missing, but not until next year. I'm not thrilled at the Safety pick that early, but since I have no idea who was there, its hard to criticize.

    Great Job, Heat, I hope there is another one of these in our future before the actual draft.
  19. supafly

    supafly PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    #24 Jersey

    Very nice job, sir.

    I can't say that I agree with CLE trading 4 times in the first round, especially considering how loaded they are in the draft to begin with, but I certainly couldn't do any better myself.

    I'd also place myself in the "very impressed, but not particularly happy" group as far as our specific picks though. I would much prefer to see it go in a different direction in terms of NE's selections.
  20. DarrylS

    DarrylS PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    So much respect for the folks who do this type of thing, cannot wrap my brain around all of the various scenarios and players... nice job.

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