I think the big question is how the cap will grow of the years. The cap for 2011 has shrunk (which I was wrong about), but does that mean the cap growth year to year will shrink significantly or is this just a reset and the cap will still grow at a big rate after reducing the cap. Looking a the Jets, I see a number of issues that could really hurt them: 1.) They have potential of getting cap room by converting part of Sanchez's base salary to bonus money and giving David Harris a long term deal. The problems with these moves is the timing since there will likely only be a few days from when the Football year starts and free agency begins. A deal for Harris could take weeks. 2.) The 90% cap floor rule could kill them. That rule says that teams will have to spend 90% of cap in real dollars. The problem is that they have already given big bonuses to Ferguson, Mangold, and Revis. They already have $20 million in dead accrued bonus money in 2012. That could easily balloon up to $30 million. If the cap doesn't grow like it has, they might have a problem getting to the 90% cash line with $30 million of dead money vs. say a $124 million cap. As Andrew Brandt said on NFP, the new cap rules will probably benefit the teams who pay as they go (teams that don't dole out a lot of huge bonuses and doesn't carry a lot of dead money) like the Patriots do. Assuming the growth of the cap from year to year shrinks like the cap did, we might go back to an era where teams end up in cap jail and luckily the Jets are a prime candidate for that.