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Dr Pain

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Went through the situation and Wells report. It is pretty late now so if I am a bit inarticulate please forgive as it is way too late for me but want to get this out though I am a bit spent.

Effectively NFL constrained by Wells report if they use it as the basis of sanctions so they live or die by what is in there. At an arbitration hearing they will not be able to introduce new evidence and that effectively an arbitration is run like a trial. Brady can bring what ever evidence reports, witnesses he wants.

* Crappy morning update. Did not know that Goodell is the default arbitrator and was based on an assumption of a non biased independent arbitrator. (What a crappy union agreement) Goodel has Vincent giving the penalty because Goodall can't arbitrate a penalty he put in place. Goodell could claim he is unbiased, appoint himself, suspend Brady and Brady would miss games as this is fought.*

Perceived areas NFL could act and attempt to punish Brady

1) Perceived knowledge of tampering
2) Perceived lying - He also claimed he knew neither the identity nor role of Jim McNally, the officials’ locker room attendant.
3) Perceived as uncooperative with investigation

1) Perceived knowledge of tampering - “it is more probable than not” that Patriots locker room attendant Jim McNally and Patriots equipment assistant John Jastremski deliberately released air from footballs after the balls were examined by the referees. The report also concludes that “it is more probable than not” that Brady “was at least generally aware of the inappropriate activities of McNally and Jastremski”. The NFL can only use the Wells report in arbitration while Brady can get as many witnesses, reports etc.. as he wants. He can bring in MIT, Headsmart, anyone and as the NFL admits they don't know if in fact any tampering even took place, there is no chance they can punish Brady for this and have it stick. You can't punish Brady for an assumption he knew about something taking place which is only an assumption that it may have in fact taken place. They can punish the Patriots as they thought that the Patriots do not have the right to appeal but the Patriots legal position is 180 degrees different than that of a player. Patriots can be punished for having an employee take the balls with him on a pee stop but that has nothing to do with Brady.

2) Perceived lying - Brady reportedly claimed he knew neither the identity nor role of Jim McNally, the officials’ locker room attendant. Based on what Michael Holly stated, this statement from Brady was in reference to the October Jets game point in time where the PSI was set at 16 PSI and that Brady deals with John Jastremski primarily and it is John Jastremski who deals with McNally. Brady's statements that they if they needed to bring the rule book to the reffs is hardly an indication of attempting to tamper. Brady's calls after this broke were with John Jastremski to find out what was going on. This was seen as a non issue if accurate as who would not call to see what was going on. Brady giving gifts to staff and others is not an indication of his intimate knowledge of their duties and Brady could have literally hundreds of examples of him providing gear etc... to people whom he deals with only in passing and that Brady would have no reason to know the specifics of how the balls are prepared beyond his dealings with John Jastremski. They felt there was little chance any arbitrator would uphold any sanctions based on this claim as this claim is not supported by the evidence in the Wells report and the NFL is bound by the contents of the report (unless they cite another source in the punishment).

3) Perceived as uncooperative with investigation. They were most unclear on this as they were unfamiliar with the terms of the NFL collective bargaining agreement and if it required that a player was required to hand over personal property. They doubted that any union would allow any such agreement and that Brady was completely justified in not complying with their request especially when considering the NFL's repeated failure to uphold confidentiality. Additionally as Jastremski and McNally did hand over their phones, were there any texts/emails from Brady to them it would have been seen on these devices so seeking Brady's phone was fishing. Putting aside the issue of if the NFL will claim failing to hand over personal property is grounds for sanctions under the union rules, they felt that if accurate that Brady met with the investigators as stated and answered their questions, any sanctions claiming non cooperation would be tossed. Not admitting what did not happen is not being uncooperative.

So basically aside from the possibility that the union contract allows for confiscation of personal property, they saw no significant risk that any penalty against Brady would stick and that the NFL was regularly shredded in arbitration. There was actually talk that Goodell would lay down a penalty to appease the masses knowing that it would be removed by the arbitrator. This may have been a reason why the report focused on nailing Brady and not Belichick, Kraft or the Patriots in any meaningful way. Telling them to submit questions in writing instead of allowing a 5th interview with a staff member is not hardcore non cooperation. The Union may really enjoy this given Wells was the NFL's attorney in the concussion lawsuit. Watch the Front line special on it if you have not already http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/league-of-denial/

As far as Brady's legal options, he could in fact sue, and seek discovery against all parties requesting all communications involving himself, the Patriots, etc... having to do with PSI and the investigation. He would also be subject to disclosure but if in fact there is nothing to hide, he could request all of Goodells emails, texts, chats etc... on the issue, all the reffs and NFL executives. They felt this was unlikely to happen but did point out that Brady's reputation has immense value and his income from non football activities is significant and potentially more than his football salary so it would not be unheard of for Brady to use his immense wealth to pursue this action if for no other reason than to force discovery in an attempt to clear his name and this would be most likely to occur in the unlikely event that Brady lost arbitration. Interesting situation for the NFL, if they win arbitration it dramatically increased the chance Brady goes after them and does discovery on all the NFL employees communications regarding him, the investigation and PSI. If I were Goodell I would be very afraid of this.

So basically go ahead and punish Brady to the max because it won't probably stand in arbitration and the NFL will set the Patriots up to destroy all others next year. In the very unlikely event that an arbitrator does not do this (hell ray Rice won arbitration and that was on film), it increases the likily of the immensely wealthy Tom Brady going after the NFL in a court of law. Although victory in the court may be difficult, the trial and extensive discovery could restore his reputation which is valued in excess of $100M. It was also though if Brady is suspended for the first game that instead of raising the championship banner the first night without Brady there, that a black banner or a pirate flag be raised instead after a minute of silence. The banner could be raised when Brady returned.

Very sleepy and head spinning but hopes this makes sense.
 
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Went through the situation and Wells report. It is pretty late now so if I am a bit inarticulate please forgive as it is way too late for me but want to get this out though I am a bit spent.

Effectively NFL constrained by Wells report if they use it as the basis of sanctions so they live or die by what is in there. At an arbitration hearing they will not be able to introduce new evidence and that effectively an arbitration is run like a trial. Brady can bring what ever evidence reports, witnesses he wants.

Perceived areas NFL could act and attempt to punish Brady

1) Perceived knowledge of tampering
2) Perceived lying - He also claimed he knew neither the identity nor role of Jim McNally, the officials’ locker room attendant.
3) Perceived as uncooperative with investigation

1) Perceived knowledge of tampering - “it is more probable than not” that Patriots locker room attendant Jim McNally and Patriots equipment assistant John Jastremski deliberately released air from footballs after the balls were examined by the referees. The report also concludes that “it is more probable than not” that Brady “was at least generally aware of the inappropriate activities of McNally and Jastremski”. The NFL can only use the Wells report in arbitration while Brady can get as many witnesses, reports etc.. as he wants. He can bring in MIT, Headsmart, anyone and as the NFL admits they don't know if in fact any tampering even took place, there is no chance they can punish Brady for this and have it stick. You can't punish Brady for an assumption he knew about something taking place which is only an assumption that it may have in fact taken place. They can punish the Patriots as they thought that the Patriots do not have the right to appeal but the Patriots legal position is 180 degrees different than that of a player. Patriots can be punished for having an employee take the balls with him on a pee stop but that has nothing to do with Brady.

2) Perceived lying - Brady reportedly claimed he knew neither the identity nor role of Jim McNally, the officials’ locker room attendant. Based on what Michael Holly stated, this statement from Brady was in reference to the October Jets game point in time where the PSI was set at 16 PSI and that Brady deals with John Jastremski primarily and it is John Jastremski who deals with McNally. Brady's statements that they if they needed to bring the rule book to the reffs is hardly an indication of attempting to tamper. Brady's calls after this broke were with John Jastremski to find out what was going on. This was seen as a non issue if accurate as who would not call to see what was going on. Brady giving gifts to staff and others is not an indication of his intimate knowledge of their duties and Brady could have literally hundreds of examples of him providing gear etc... to people whom he deals with only in passing and that Brady would have no reason to know the specifics of how the balls are prepared beyond his dealings with John Jastremski. They felt there was little chance any arbitrator would uphold any sanctions based on this claim as this claim is not supported by the evidence in the Wells report and the NFL is bound by the contents of the report (unless they cite another source in the punishment).

3) Perceived as uncooperative with investigation. They were most unclear on this as they were unfamiliar with the terms of the NFL collective bargaining agreement and if it required that a player was required to hand over personal property. They doubted that any union would allow any such agreement and that Brady was completely justified in not complying with their request especially when considering the NFL's repeated failure to uphold confidentiality. Additionally as Jastremski and McNally did hand over their phones, were there any texts/emails from Brady to them it would have been seen on these devices so seeking Brady's phone was fishing. Putting aside the issue of if the NFL will claim failing to hand over personal property is grounds for sanctions under the union rules, they felt that if accurate that Brady met with the investigators as stated and answered their questions, any sanctions claiming non cooperation would be tossed. Not admitting what did not happen is not being uncooperative.

So basically aside from the possibility that the union contract allows for confiscation of personal property, they saw no significant risk that any penalty against Brady would stick and that the NFL was regularly shredded in arbitration. There was actually talk that Goodell would lay down a penalty to appease the masses knowing that it would be removed by the arbitrator. This may have been a reason why the report focused on nailing Brady and not Belichick, Kraft or the Patriots in any meaningful way. Telling them to submit questions in writing instead of allowing a 5th interview with a staff member is not hardcore non cooperation. The Union may really enjoy this given Wells was the NFL's attorney in the concussion lawsuit. Watch the Front line special on it if you have not already http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/league-of-denial/

As far as Brady's legal options, he could in fact sue, and seek discovery against all parties requesting all communications involving himself, the Patriots, etc... having to do with PSI and the investigation. He would also be subject to disclosure but if in fact there is nothing to hide, he could request all of Goodells emails, texts, chats etc... on the issue, all the reffs and NFL executives. They felt this was unlikely to happen but did point out that Brady's reputation has immense value and his income from non football activities is significant and potentially more than his football salary so it would not be unheard of for Brady to use his immense wealth to pursue this action if for no other reason than to force discovery in an attempt to clear his name and this would be most likely to occur in the unlikely event that Brady lost arbitration. Interesting situation for the NFL, if they win arbitration it dramatically increased the chance Brady goes after them and does discovery on all the NFL employees communications regarding him, the investigation and PSI. If I were Goodell I would be very afraid of this.

So basically go ahead and punish Brady to the max because it won't probably stand in arbitration and the NFL will set the Patriots up to destroy all others next year. In the very unlikely event that an arbitrator does not do this (hell ray Rice won arbitration and that was on film), it increases the likily of the immensely wealthy Tom Brady going after the NFL in a court of law. Although victory in the court may be difficult, the trial and extensive discovery could restore his reputation which is valued in excess of $100M. It was also though if Brady is suspended for the first game that instead of raising the championship banner the first night without Brady there, that a black banner or a pirate flag be raised instead after a minute of silence. The banner could be raised when Brady returned.

Very sleepy and head spinning but hopes this makes sense.


Extra kudos for being sleepy yet getting that all in.

It is nice to hear a legal opinion that backups the common sense view many of us have been putting forth. The report is in fact flimsy, Brady's team in fact should be able to punch holes in most of it, the actual execution of the punishment in fact is far from likely.
 
The pirate flag or whatnot is a neat idea!

I'd be more curious as to why the report was written this way if an arbiter could just pick it apart? Seems to me a waste of 5 million. I can't shake the feeling that this is all a setup to damage a franchise that is doing the opposite of parity. Certain people can say they didn't win a super bowl so the parity things is BS. When you have the success that they've had, year in and year out its tiresome for the parity argument. Teams rise and fall, the Pats stay steady. It's incredible and should be applauded. It's not and we are left with this.

So you talked to a judge or a lawyer? Or both? Interesting insight. What was their final feeling?
 
This was a great read, thanks for posting it.

More and more I'm beginning to think that there is a backroom deal in place about all of this.

Kraft agrees to comply with the league.
The league exonerates the Patriots and lays the blame at the feet of Brady.
Goodell hands down a hefty punishment on Brady.
Brady, through the arbitration process gets the punishment overturned.

The league gets to say they did their best but at the same time one of their greatest players of all time doesn't get suspended. Brady has a black mark in the public eye but doesn't lose any playing time or money. The Patriots don't give up any draft picks or anything and Belichick does not have his reputation further stained.
 
This was a great read, thanks for posting it.

More and more I'm beginning to think that there is a backroom deal in place about all of this.

Kraft agrees to comply with the league.
The league exonerates the Patriots and lays the blame at the feet of Brady.
Goodell hands down a hefty punishment on Brady.
Brady, through the arbitration process gets the punishment overturned.

The league gets to say they did their best but at the same time one of their greatest players of all time doesn't get suspended. Brady has a black mark in the public eye but doesn't lose any playing time or money. The Patriots don't give up any draft picks or anything and Belichick does not have his reputation further stained.

How do you know they'll let Brady off the hook?
 
So you talked to a judge or a lawyer? Or both? Interesting insight. What was their final feeling?

Judge who is a labor lawyer who deals with dealt with Unions everyday. Feeling was they would personally love to have a crack at this arbitration case as if the NFL uses the Wells report as the basis of penalty in arbitration which is handled like a trial, the NFL would be stuck only with the Wells report which is fatally flawed. They felt it was so bad that the NFL plan may be to impose harsh sanctions on Brady knowing they would not stick but would give the appearance of having come down hard. Of course this was dependent on an assumption that the union agreements not requiring Brady to turn over his personal phone. It makes sense on why Brady and his team are so quiet and non specific now.
 
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More and more I'm beginning to think that there is a backroom deal in place about all of this.

Kraft agrees to comply with the league.
The league exonerates the Patriots and lays the blame at the feet of Brady.
Goodell hands down a hefty punishment on Brady.
Brady, through the arbitration process gets the punishment overturned.

The league gets to say they did their best but at the same time one of their greatest players of all time doesn't get suspended. Brady has a black mark in the public eye but doesn't lose any playing time or money. The Patriots don't give up any draft picks or anything and Belichick does not have his reputation further stained.

From what I understand (may be wrong) the Patriots have no recourse within the workings of the league for arbitration or an appeal. Their only option would to be to go all Al Davis and sue. Rational people avoid court. Players have arbitration, not teams.
 
From what I understand (may be wrong) the Patriots have no recourse within the workings of the league for arbitration or an appeal. Their only option would to be to go all Al Davis and sue. Rational people avoid court. Players have arbitration, not teams.

If you had to guess right now, what would you say are Kraft's motives? Many people seem to think he's abandoned Brady to fight for himself, and doesn't want the franchise to become involved in a legal battle....is that how this is playing out?
 
How do you know they'll let Brady off the hook?

I don't think that the report will ever hold up in arbitration and I think they know that. The bigger the punishment the closer to a mortal certainty that Brady will take that route.
 
From what I understand (may be wrong) the Patriots have no recourse within the workings of the league for arbitration or an appeal. Their only option would to be to go all Al Davis and sue. Rational people avoid court. Players have arbitration, not teams.

From a legal standpoint that is my understanding too. But from a PR standpoint Kraft and the Patriots could be engaging in all-out war on behalf of the most important player in the history of the franchise. Kraft is a businessman but I don't think he's as gutless as people have been assuming. I really want to believe that there is a behind the scenes hand shake deal that has been made to get everyone out of this uninjured.
 
Thanks for the post, it confirms my expectation that arbitration will completely destroy the "conclusions" of the Wells report. The report has so many holes in it that I am shocked it was released like that.

I particularly like the idea of the Patriots boycotting the celebration on opening night. But Kraft wouldn't have the balls for that.
 
If you had to guess right now, what would you say are Kraft's motives? Many people seem to think he's abandoned Brady to fight for himself, and doesn't want the franchise to become involved in a legal battle....is that how this is playing out?

Kraft has no recourse against any penalty the NFL wishes to impose other than to sue and he wouldnt win because of NFL agreements. Why would he poke the NFL right now knowing if they take away the next 10 1st rounders no matter how insane, he can't do anything. Brady is all set for the arbitration. Let the NFL punish the Patriots for having an employee take a pee break with the balls and not letting him be interviewed in person for the 5th time. Once this penalty against the Patriots is in, he can do what he wants. I understand what the Patriots did in spygate and here better now knowing they have no appeal process or arbitration. Kraft seemed to cave in spygate but he had no recourse with the NFL so what did he do right after, he extended Belichick's contract what a week after :)
 
Judge who is a labor lawyer who deals with dealt with Unions everyday. Fleeing was they would personally love to have a crack at this arbitration case as if the NFL uses the Wells report as the basis of penalty in arbitration which is handled like a trial, the NFL would be stuck only with the Wells report which is seriously and fatally flawed. They felt it was so bad that the NFL plan may be to impose harsh sanctions on Brady knowing they would not stick but would give the appearance of having come down hard. Of course this was dependent on an assumption that the union agreements not requiring Brady to turn over his personal phone. It makes sense on why Brady and his team are so quiet and non specific now.


I do believe the union told him not to do diddly. I sure he was told not to turn it over. I'm also curious if they thought this could be a watershed moment as it relates to the NFL offices and leadership? It would be sweet if this was their Waterloo.
 
Thanks for the post, it confirms my expectation that arbitration will completely destroy the "conclusions" of the Wells report. The report has so many holes in it that I am shocked it was released like that.

I particularly like the idea of the Patriots boycotting the celebration on opening night. But Kraft wouldn't have the balls for that.


70k fans with black armbands
 
I do believe the union told him not to do diddly. I sure he was told not to turn it over. I'm also curious if they thought this could be a watershed moment as it relates to the NFL offices and leadership? It would be sweet if this was their Waterloo.

I doubt he contacted the union but his lawyers and agent will know the score. He will likely bring the union in now in a minor supporting role. Brady can afford the best. If the union can vigorously defend wife beaters and seek the rest of Hernandez's salary, they would likely welcome this, a chance to fight for someone who is probably innocent. Also payback against Wells for the concussion battle would sweeten the pot.
 
This was a great read, thanks for posting it.

More and more I'm beginning to think that there is a backroom deal in place about all of this.

Kraft agrees to comply with the league.
The league exonerates the Patriots and lays the blame at the feet of Brady.
Goodell hands down a hefty punishment on Brady.
Brady, through the arbitration process gets the punishment overturned.

The league gets to say they did their best but at the same time one of their greatest players of all time doesn't get suspended. Brady has a black mark in the public eye but doesn't lose any playing time or money. The Patriots don't give up any draft picks or anything and Belichick does not have his reputation further stained.

Honestly, I don't think there is any backroom deal in place.

The easiest way the NFL could have handled the entire mess is having Wells et al determine that there is not enough conclusive information to make a clear decision, then fine the Patriots 50-75k for equipment violations and create a new set of guidelines how ball pressure will be handled from now on to prevent any tampering in the future.

The way it went down will make everyone look bad.
 
Honestly, I don't think there is any backroom deal in place.

The easiest way the NFL could have handled the entire mess is having Wells et al determine that there is not enough conclusive information to make a clear decision, then fine the Patriots 50-75k for equipment violations and create a new set of guidelines how ball pressure will be handled from now on to prevent any tampering in the future.

The way it went down will make everyone look bad.

Goodell won't do the smart thing and he will go after Brady big time. The crowd wants Brady's blood and Goodell is too weak to not give it to them. When it gets overturned, he can say he tried. The biggest risk to Goodell is if Brady does not win arbitration and Brady seeks legal action and starts discovery.
 
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Goodell won't do it The crowd wants Brady's blood and Goodell is too weak to not give it to them. When it gets overturned, he can say he tried.

I don't see how Goodell gains anything with that. Lets be realistic, unless it is a 8+ game suspension the majority of media will continue to cry how the punishment is too soft and how Goodell is in bed with Kraft. Which will force Brady's hand and in turn the entire process and report will be destroyed during arbitration which will make the league and everyone else look like an idiot for letting all of this go that far in the first place. As usual lawyers are the only winners..
 
I don't see how Goodell gains anything with that. Lets be realistic, unless it is a 8+ game suspension the majority of media will continue to cry how the punishment is too soft and how Goodell is in bed with Kraft. Which will force Brady's hand and in turn the entire process and report will be destroyed during arbitration which will make the league and everyone else look like an idiot for letting all of this go that far in the first place. As usual lawyers are the only winners..

I think we are in violent agreement. Goodell may toss the book at Brady because he is afraid. At that point it goes to arbitration should Brady seek it and the NFL can defend the Wells report. I edited my previous post to make it clear I think Goodell does punish Brady harshly.
 
What about the timing: could Brady win an appeal before the season begins? Even if he wins, if he misses the pre-season practices and the early games, that puts the Patriots at a huge competitive disadvantage.
 
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