The Saints have a gambling secondary and have given up big plays vs. pass and run all year. The Bears have a solid deep passing game vs bad defenses, a sturdy runblocking line and two tough, grinding tailbacks. While the Saints have two top-notch pass rushers in Smith and Grant, the fast track and home crowd in the Superdome help their cause. The Saints' speed on O and D will be minimized by the rough track in Chicago. Freezing temperatures and loose turf hurt precision offenses. Brees, while one of my favorite QB's, has a tendency to choke in the big spot. Evidence is the 2nd half of the Indy game last year, followed by the Miami and KC games. Even vs. Philly IMO he started off shaky and struggled to keep it together until Deuce bailed the team out. The Windy City crowd, a shaky performance by Brees, Bush struggling with his footing, some accurate deep passes by Grossman, a Saints pass rush and run defense which will diminish as the game wears on... all these factors will lead to a run away victory by the Bears. Chicago wins 30-13.