I did a more realistic edit there for you. The Jets won't lose to Miami again. So what happens if we're 11-5 and don't win the division? Can we clinch the wild card with that record?
I would think so. I don't see Baltimore being better than 11-5 and Indy has 4 losses already and still has to play Tennessee, Jacksonville and San Diego (which is on the road).
The big problem is Tennessee is week 17...if the Colts win up until then but TEN clinches the division, we could be looking at a re-run of 2002 when Favre's Packers purposely tanked week 17 to squeeze us out.
Baltimore has the Giants this week, Philly next week, Washington on Dec. 7, Pittsburgh, Dallas and Jacksonville. I see no way that they don't lose at least 3 games of those.
Jacksonville would need to win out to get to 11-5, and they still have to play Tennessee, Green Bay, Minnesota, Chicago, Indy and Baltimore. Safe to say they are out.
SD also needs to win out for 11-5, and still need to play Pitt, Indy, Atlanta, @ Tampa and Denver. They have a very very outside chance of 11-5 but it'll be next to impossible.
Long story short, all of the wild card teams have a difficult road to 11-5, so 11-5 will almost definitely earn us a WC spot, if not the division. If we win out against AFCE (which we should, with Miami and Buffalo remaining), and the Jets lose one of their remaining AFCE games, we will be tied on the second tie break as well.
11-5 is good for the playoffs, 10-6 will likely come down to tie breakers with a logjam of teams with the same record, and I know none of us want to deal with that.