Oswlek
Veteran Starter w/Big Long Term Deal
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I posted this as a reply in the disappointment thread but I thought it was interesting enough to be its own thread
Here are some interesting numbers since the Indy/NE game:
Carries
Addai - 108
Maroney - 96
since they played the same number of games (NE had a bye and Indy just took one themselves) that amounts to.....
Carries per game
Addai - 15.4
Maroney - 13.7
Is that really that much of a difference? And if you say something like, "Well, Indy has been resting him for the playoffs" why is that any more reasonable than the earlier talk of NE resting Maroney for the final stretch? Besides, let's take a look at how effective those carries were.
Total rushing yards
Addai - 341
Maroney - 430
Rushing yards per game
Addai - 48
Maroney - 61
Less carries and more yards. Isn't that doing better? What is interesting is that NE actually faced the more difficult run defenses over that time as well. Indy faced teams allowing an average ypc of 4.1 why NE's opponents averaged 3.9.
Now, just to be fair, NE didn't run Maroney that much against the better run stopping teams (although both him and Addai ran 13 times against Baltimore) so I went through and calculated how many yards each would have gotten if they just ran for the defense's average for each rush. (for example, both guys would be expected to have run for 36.4 yards against Baltimore since 13 x 2.8 = 36.4) That way, Maroney would lose some credit because his largest attempt total was against one of the worst rush D's. Here are those numbers along with what they actually ran (from above)
Addai - 443.4 (341)
Maroney - 377.2 (430)
So Addai ran for over 100 yards less than the average while Maroney was about 50 over. On a ypc rate that looks like
Addai - 4.1 (3.2 actual)
Maroney - 3.9 (4.5 actual)
Again, Addai averaged nearly a full yard per rush less than the mean while Maroney was half a yard over. This isn't just because of the Miami game either, in those seven games Addai has only run for more ypc than the opponent typically allowed one time - and that was only by 0.2 ypc! 4 other times he was under with two essential draws. Maroney split it right down the middle with three over, three under and one draw.
Addai does have Maroney beaten hands down as a receiver and that is irrefutible, but it is my contention that Faulk's excellence on that role steals many of Maroney's opportunities. I would bet a large sum of money that Laurence would have comparable numbers to Addai if Faulk were not on the team.
As much as Addai clearly outperformed Maroney in the first half, Maroney has done nearly the same thing since then to significantly less fanfare.
Here are some interesting numbers since the Indy/NE game:
Carries
Addai - 108
Maroney - 96
since they played the same number of games (NE had a bye and Indy just took one themselves) that amounts to.....
Carries per game
Addai - 15.4
Maroney - 13.7
Is that really that much of a difference? And if you say something like, "Well, Indy has been resting him for the playoffs" why is that any more reasonable than the earlier talk of NE resting Maroney for the final stretch? Besides, let's take a look at how effective those carries were.
Total rushing yards
Addai - 341
Maroney - 430
Rushing yards per game
Addai - 48
Maroney - 61
Less carries and more yards. Isn't that doing better? What is interesting is that NE actually faced the more difficult run defenses over that time as well. Indy faced teams allowing an average ypc of 4.1 why NE's opponents averaged 3.9.
Now, just to be fair, NE didn't run Maroney that much against the better run stopping teams (although both him and Addai ran 13 times against Baltimore) so I went through and calculated how many yards each would have gotten if they just ran for the defense's average for each rush. (for example, both guys would be expected to have run for 36.4 yards against Baltimore since 13 x 2.8 = 36.4) That way, Maroney would lose some credit because his largest attempt total was against one of the worst rush D's. Here are those numbers along with what they actually ran (from above)
Addai - 443.4 (341)
Maroney - 377.2 (430)
So Addai ran for over 100 yards less than the average while Maroney was about 50 over. On a ypc rate that looks like
Addai - 4.1 (3.2 actual)
Maroney - 3.9 (4.5 actual)
Again, Addai averaged nearly a full yard per rush less than the mean while Maroney was half a yard over. This isn't just because of the Miami game either, in those seven games Addai has only run for more ypc than the opponent typically allowed one time - and that was only by 0.2 ypc! 4 other times he was under with two essential draws. Maroney split it right down the middle with three over, three under and one draw.
Addai does have Maroney beaten hands down as a receiver and that is irrefutible, but it is my contention that Faulk's excellence on that role steals many of Maroney's opportunities. I would bet a large sum of money that Laurence would have comparable numbers to Addai if Faulk were not on the team.
As much as Addai clearly outperformed Maroney in the first half, Maroney has done nearly the same thing since then to significantly less fanfare.
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