xmarkd400x
2nd Team Getting Their First Start
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These numbers are complete hogwash when applied to real performance. Sure, you can say "this team was 12-4 and therefore had a 75% winning percentage and therefore a .75 chance to win every game" but it's not like that. There are many more factors, none of which can be fully realized before a game. If it were actually possible to predict the % chance of things happening in football, they would be.
Take this counter-example: The Patriots finished the season 16-0 with a 1.000 winning percentage. By your logic, they had a 100% chance of winning every game. The winning percentage is correct looking backwards, but a poor predictor.
Take this counter-example: The Patriots finished the season 16-0 with a 1.000 winning percentage. By your logic, they had a 100% chance of winning every game. The winning percentage is correct looking backwards, but a poor predictor.