Hi sb,
Please don't take my style too seriously.
I'm an old-school engineer.
We tend to confuse "abrupt & confrontational" for "charming & refreshingly honest".
I think the fundamental thing about all of this is to look at is Bill's modus operandi.
The point is he does everything for a reason and it's justifiable by a sound explanation.
Excellent comment. People have patterns of behavior that they follow.
Everything that I've seen about BB conveys "respect for the game" & integrity.
And damn clever & innovative.
With that said...there isn't anything in the rulebook to justify intentionally deflating footballs.
Wrong, by virtue of understatement.
THERE ya go. That's better.
"Intentionally deflating footballs" is explicitly illegal. It is illegal to do anything to the footballs after the referees have finished their pre-game inspection.
This is exactly why the act of re-inflating the Pats' balls at halftime was also explicitly against the rules.
The end result of that action was that the Pats played with illegally OVER-inflated balls during the second half.
The fact that the refs decided to adjust those balls' pressure PROVES that they didn't know how pressure & temperature interact inside a football. The reactions by the Colts, the league, NFL players, the media & lots of fans prove that they also had no clue how pressure & temperature interact within a football.
That is exactly what all this is about: systemic ignorance of this simple interaction.
So to me that is reason to think such an action did not happen. Bill looks for an edge but he does not blatantly cheat. ... That is why I'm confident the team did not do what they are accused of doing.
There is a much better reason to be confident: physics.
It explains exactly what happened.
People can be fickle. They can change. They can disappoint you.
The laws of physics are as reliable as can be.
Now the rules around what the footballs PSI must be at what time before kickoff are vague and open for another spygate-style interpretation.
No, actually they are not vague at all.
They are simply incompetent.
You see, the inflation state of any football depends on TWO factors: the pressure & the temperature of the air inside the ball. Unless you know BOTH, then you know nothing about the ball's inflation state.
One ball, whose pressure reads 12.5 psi & whose internal air temp is 75°F is at a COMPLETELY DIFFERENT inflation state than another ball whose pressure reads 12.5 psi & whose internal air temp is 50°F.
This is exactly the problem with the NFL's ball pressure rules. They do not consider, they do not measure, the temp of the air inside the balls.
If Bill sees the rules and interprets them as the ability to set them to 12.5 and then prep them after and as a result they end up slightly under at kickoff - to me that's not out of the question. And if they did this, I'm sure we'll also find out they are not the only ones who have.
Except this did not, and could not, have happened.
Any "buffing" of the balls MUST have happened LONG before the referees ever got to them.
In fact, the buffing happens before Brady even picks the balls he wants to use.
After Brady chooses the balls, nobody is going to start messing with them. Nobody is going to change them from the condition in which Brady picked them.
And any internal air temp increase that results from the friction of buffing the balls (why did writing that phrase cause me to giggle?) is going to be absolutely minimal & dissipate within an hour or so.
Then again, this could also give the league room to issue a small fine.
The ONLY way that the league levies any fine (big or small) on the Pats is in the glaring light of ignoring the laws of physics.
They will NOT get away with taking this path.
They will be forever labeled as clueless morons, if they try.
If the league exposes this, it will be interesting to see if they take action and change the rule because if they do they are actually doing something to hinder offense and that has not been the league's M.O. for many years.
If they want to really fix the problem, then the answer is simple: measure the temp of the air inside the balls & inflate to the proper pressure that produces a "legal" inflation state.
To quote Sigourney Weaver in Aliens, "... it's the only way to be sure."