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A useless reason to root for the Bears

Discussion in 'PatsFans.com - Patriots Fan Forum' started by Sean Pa Patriot, Jan 17, 2007.

  1. Sean Pa Patriot

    Sean Pa Patriot Rookie

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    #12 Jersey

    Not since the 1996 season has both home teams won the confrence championship games, which was the Pats and Pack.. In 1997 both Denver and GB won the games on the road.. With that being said, if the bears win on sunday our chances improve slightly.. I know its a meaningless stat,but its worth noting...
  2. PatsFaninAZ

    PatsFaninAZ Rookie

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    Not for nothing, but no it doesn't.

    If you flip a fair coin 50 times and it lands on heads, the chances that it will land on heads the 51st time is still 50/50.

    I think we should figure out what team we want to play more if we're lucky enough to win, and root for that team. For me, I think that if the patriots win, the dynamic for two weeks while we hear about how we always win and how the Saints are carrying the hope of New Orleans is going to be tough. We'll basically be the (gulp) Yankees, with nobody but our fans rooting for us. That said, I refuse to root against the Saints. The reality is that if we don't win it and they do, even I'll take solace in what could be the best feel good story of the year. And it's bad mojo, so I'm happy to root against the Bears.
  3. Michael

    Michael Moderator Staff Member PatsFans.com Supporter

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    #12 Jersey

    And it's a stat that has been mentioned here. I don't recall which thread (there's so many right now) but I did read that in one of them earlier.
  4. mgteich

    mgteich PatsFans.com Veteran PatsFans.com Supporter

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    If a coin comes up heads 50 times in a row, it is extremely unlikely that is a fair coin with 50-50 expectations.

  5. ctpatsfan77

    ctpatsfan77 PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    Thank you for not saying "it isn't a fair coin." :)
  6. Patsfanin Philly

    Patsfanin Philly Rookie

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    #95 Jersey

    or about 1 in 2 to the 50th power. Since there is a 1 in 2 chance it will be heads each time, the odds of a heads, followed by a heads, followed by a heads 50 times in a row is 2 to the 50th power or........

    1024 x 1024 x 1024 x 1024 x 1024 = one in 1,125,899,906,842,624 times

    (2 to the 10th power) x itself 5 times.......

    yeah it would have to be a pretty unlikely coin......
    Last edited: Jan 17, 2007
  7. PatsFaninAZ

    PatsFaninAZ Rookie

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    Yes, hard to believe it's a fair coin. Seems *almost* impossible. Yet it IS a fair coin! I know what you're saying -- it's amazing, virtually uneblievable. But, you see, you have to trust me on this, because it's my hypothetical, and so it's my rules. So yes, as unlikely as it seems, my hypothetical coin did in fact come up 50 heads in a row. Bizzare, I know.

    For the record, this is why my example, umm, well, works. It wouldn't exactly make my point if the prior events were likely, would it?

    It's a fair coin. Don't fight the hypothetical.

    Or, if you must fight the hypothetical, pick whatever number you want. The point doesn't change.

    Incidentally, I'd go with 2 to the 49th, since the first flip is irrelevant with respect to whether you get 50 of the same flips in a row. It is unclear from my hypothetical whether the flipper called the first flip or not. Actually, since it's my hypothetical, he didn't. He also, interestingly, weighs 480 pounds, our flipper. And he's a raving St. Louis Blues fan who has his Doug Weight throwback jerseys custom made so he can wear them to the games, where he has an aisle seat and has bought the seat next to him too for the extra room. And, although this is unlikely too, he does needlepoint at the games and is the best needlepointist in St. Louis. (Or do you want to take on that part of my hypothetical too for being unlikely?)

    :0)

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