RecoveringCowboy
In the Starting Line-Up
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A few years ago, a sports writer commented on a team's start and the odds of making the playoffs.
One more thought: After everyone plays their first 4-5 games, we start to get a picture of who's definitely in the playoffs, who's definitely not in the playoffs. Still will be plenty of teams that could go either way midseason. Besides, about 30% of last years playoff teams don't return the next year.
- 1st game - every other team loses, so it's usually not big deal, unless a key player is injured or you get beat by a team you should have owned.
- 2nd game - If you are 0-2, it's time to worry. Note that the Pats had a 0-2 start and won a SB in 2001. Historically a 12% chance of making the playoffs.
- 3rd game - If you are 0-3, historically there is only a 10% chance of making the playoffs.
- 4th game - In the great gridiron in the sky Don Meredith is warming up to croon The Party's Over. In the Modern Era (1970 to present), only the 1976 Steelers and 1992 Chargers survived an 0-4 start and made the playoffs.
- 5th game - Nobody has ever made the playoffs starting 0-5. Period. If you are a reporter, this is an excellent question to torment the front office or HC of a team with a bad start.
One more thought: After everyone plays their first 4-5 games, we start to get a picture of who's definitely in the playoffs, who's definitely not in the playoffs. Still will be plenty of teams that could go either way midseason. Besides, about 30% of last years playoff teams don't return the next year.
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