As a by-product of the league’s quest for parity, NFL week ten sadly has just one game between two teams with winning records: the New England Patriots at New York Giants in a late afternoon tilt on Sunday. Here is a look at all of the week ten games….
4-4 5-4 Buffalo Bills at 5-3 5-4 New York Jets,Thursday November 12
Jets -2½ . . . . over/under 42 . . . . Bills +114, Jets -126
Final Score: Bills 22, Jets 17
With the win the Bills jump from a #7 seed in the AFC playoff picture to #5, and the Jets drop one place to #6 – and as a result Pittsburgh falls to the wrong side of the bubble in the number seven slot.
1-7 Detroit Lions at 6-2 Green Bay Packers, early game on FOX; Joe Buck, Troy Aikman
Broadcast in Alaska, Arizona, Chico CA, Colorado, Hawaii, Idaho, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky (except Bowling Green), Maine, Massachusetts, Michigan, Montana, Nebraska, Ohio (except Cleveland), Oregon, Rhode Island, Utah, Vermont, Washington, Wisconsin and Wyoming.
Packers -10½ (opened at -10½) . . . . over/under 49 . . . . Det +450, GB -600
Detroit ranks last in points allowed (30.6); not good when facing a Packer team coming home looking to get back on track after two losses.
Prediction: Packers 31, Lions 20
Pick: Packers -10½ . . . . over 49 . . . . Packers -600
2-6 Dallas Cowboys at 3-5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers, early game on FOX; Kevin Burkhardt, John Lynch
Broadcast in Arkansas, Florida (except Jacksonville and Miami), Kansas, New Mexico, Oklahoma and Texas.
Bucs -1 (opened w/Dal -1) . . . . over/under 43½ . . . . Dal -105, TB -115
The Cowboys finally get a win with a backup quarterback, one week before the return of Tony Romo.
Prediction: Cowboys 24, Bucs 23
Pick: Cowboys +1 . . . . over 43½ . . . . Cowboys -105
8-0 Carolina Panthers at 2-6 Tennessee Titans, early game on FOX; Thom Brennaman, Charles Davis
Broadcast in Huntsville AL, Bowling Green KY, North Carolina, South Carolina, Tennessee and Beckley WV.
Panthers -4 (opened at -6) . . . . over/under 44 . . . . Car -210, Tenn +175
This would be a letdown trap game for Carolina, if not for the fact that Tennessee is not seasoned enough to handle success and win two games in a row.
Prediction: Panthers 24, Titans 13
Pick: Panthers -4 (three units) . . . . under 48 (two units) . . . . Panthers -210
3-5 Chicago Bears at 4-4 St. Louis Rams, early game on CBS; TBA
Broadcast in Arizona, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, Reno NV, North Dakota, South Dakota, Spokane WA and Wisconsin (except Green Bay).
Rams -6½ (opened at -9) . . . . over/under 42½ . . . . Chi +250, StL -300
The Bears are a whole lot better with Jay Cutler and Alshon Jeffrey in the lineup, but the St. Louis defense is one of only two to have more interceptions than touchdown passes allowed; I would not doubt a critical late Cutler pick six decides this game.
Prediction: Rams 20, Bears 17
Pick: Bears +6½ (one unit) . . . . under 42½ (one unit) . . . . Bears +250
4-5 New Orleans Saints at 3-5 Washington Redskins, early game on FOX; Kenny Albert, Daryl Johnston
Broadcast in Alabama (except Huntsville), Connecticut, DC, Georgia, Louisiana, Maryland, Mississippi, New York, Pennsylvania (except Philadelphia and Pittsburgh), Vermont, Virginia and West Virginia.
Pick’em (opened w/Saints -2½) . . . . over/under 50 . . . . NO -110, Wash -110
While the Skins defense is much better than New Orleans’, I’ll side with Drew Brees over Kirk Cousins in a game that could come down to a shootout.
Prediction: Saints 28, Skins 27
Pick: Saints +0 . . . . over 50 . . . . Saints -110
3-5 Miami Dolphins at 4-4 Philadelphia Eagles, early game on CBS; Kevin Harlan, Rich Gannon
Broadcast in Connecticut, parts of Florida (Fort Myers, Miami, Panama City, West Palm Beach), Hawaii, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New York (except Buffalo), Oklahoma, Rhode Island, Texas, Vermont and Richmond VA.
Eagles -6 (opened at -5½) . . . . over/under 49½ . . . . Mia +220, Phil -260
Miami’s resurgence with a change of head coaches has come to a sobering and abrupt halt with their third straight loss.
Prediction: Eagles 27, Dolphins 23
Pick: Dolphins +6 . . . . over 50 . . . . Eagles -260
2-7 Cleveland Browns at 5-4 Pittsburgh Steelers, early game on FOX; Ian Eagle, Dan Fouts
Broadcast in Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Georgia (except Savannah), Idaho, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Montana, Las Vegas NV, New Mexico, Buffalo NY, North Carolina, Ohio, Oregon, Pennsylvania (except Philadelphia), South Carolina, Tennessee (except Nashville), Utah, Virginia (except Charlottesville, Harrisonburg and Richmond), Washington (except Spokane), West Virginia and Wyoming.
Steelers -6½ (opened at -7) . . . . over/under 41½ . . . . Cle +220, Pit -260
The brain trust in Cleveland now decides that they should see how Johnny Manziel can fare at quarterback. What, they thought they were winning the Super Bowl with Josh McCown? The Browns have not won in Pittsburgh since 2003; maybe next year.
Prediction: Steelers 23, Browns 17
Pick: Browns +6½ . . . . under 41½ . . . . Steelers -260
2-6 Jacksonville Jaguars at 2-6 Baltimore Ravens, early game on CBS; Spero Dedes, Solomon Wilcots
Broadcast in DC, northern Florida (Jacksonville, Gainesville, Orlando, Tallahassee), southern Georgia (Albany, Savannah), Maryland and northern Virginia (Charlottesville, Harrisonburg).
Ravens -4½ (opened at -6½) . . . . over/under 47½ . . . . Jax +180, Bal -220
Baltimore is down to Kamar Aiken and Marlon Brown as their starting wide receivers; Jacksonville actually has a very good chance of pulling an upset on the road here.
Prediction: Ravens 27, Jaguars 24
Pick: Jaguars +4½ . . . . over 47½ . . . . Jaguars +180
6-2 Minnesota Vikings at 4-4 Oakland Raiders, late game on FOX; Chris Myers, Ronde Barber
Broadcast in California (except Chico), Jacksonville FL, Miami FL, Illinois, Minnesota, Nevada, North Dakota, Cleveland OH, Philadelphia PA, Pittsburgh PA and South Dakota.
Raiders -3 (opened as Pick’em) . . . . over/under 44 . . . . Min +130, Oak -150
Look past the 6-2 record and you will see that the cumulative record of the teams Minnesota has defeated this year is 13-28. Derek Carr is playing very well and the deviants in the black hole will make it difficult for concussed Teddy Bridgewater.
Prediction: Raiders 24, Vikings 23
Pick: Vikings +3 . . . . over 44 . . . . Vikings +130
3-5 Kansas City Chiefs at 7-1 Denver Broncos, late game on CBS; Greg Gumbel, Trent Green
Arizona, Arkansas, California (except SF/Oakland), Colorado, Idaho, Indianapolis IN, Iowa, Kansas, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Mexico, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Oregon, South Dakota, Tennessee (except Memphis), Amarillo TX, Houston TX, Utah, Washington and Wyoming.
Broncos -4½ (opened at -7) . . . . over/under 41½ . . . . KC +180, Den -220
I would like the Chiefs a whole lot more in this situation if the Broncos were not looking to avenge a loss from the previous week. Once Denver bottles up KC’s running game, can Alex Smith carry the Chiefs to a win on the road in a loud stadium? Doubtful.
Prediction: Broncos 20, Chiefs 17
Pick: Chiefs +4½ . . . . under 41½ . . . . Chiefs +180
8-0 New England Patriots at 5-4 New York Giants, late game on CBS; Jim Nantz, Phil Simms
Alabama, Alaska, Connecticut, DC, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Illinois, Indiana (except Indianapolis), Kentucky (except Bowling Green), Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, New Hampshire, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Memphis TN, Texas (except Amarillo and Houston), Vermont, Virginia, West Virginia and Wisconsin.
Patriots -7½ (opened at -6½) . . . . over/under 54½ . . . . NE -350, NYG +290
The Giants are adept at forcing turnovers (an NFL-high 13 interceptions), but beyond those handful of plays their defense is just plain bad. New England’s receivers should have a field day against this pass coverage.
Prediction: Patriots 34, Giants 27
Pick: Giants +7½ . . . . over 54½ (two units) . . . . Patriots -350
6-2 Arizona Cardinals at 4-4 Seattle Seahawks, Sunday night on NBC; Al Michaels, Cris Collinsworth
Broadcast in all markets.
Seahawks -3 (opened at -2½) . . . . over/under 44½ . . . . Ariz +130, Sea -150
I was a big believer in Arizona early on, but watching them lately their wins speak more about the level of their opponents than their own prowess. On the other hand, Seattle’s offense is just plain bad.
Prediction: Seahawks 20, Cardinals 17
Pick: Cardinals +3 . . . . under 44½ . . . . Cardinals +130
3-5 Houston Texans at 8-0 Cincinnati Bengals, Monday night on ESPN; Mike Tirico, Jon Gruden
Broadcast in all markets.
Bengals -11 (opened at -13) . . . . over/under 47½ . . . . Hou +475, Cin -650
The Bengals can be run on (NFL worst 4.9 yards per carry), but it is tough to stick to that game plan once you fall behind.
Prediction: Bengals 27, Texans 20
Pick: Texans +11 . . . . under 47½ . . . . Bengals -650
For a bit of nostalgia, here are the future prop bets for this week’s games that were posted back when the NFL schedule came out last April; note the point swings in one direction for the Patriots, Panthers and Bengals, and in the other direction for the Ravens and Cowboys. On the other hand it is uncanny how the line in so many other games has barely budged at all.
Bills (-1) at Jets
Cowboys (-4½) at Buccaneers
Cardinals at Seahawks (-5½)
Bears at Rams (-4½)
Panthers (-2½) at Titans
Chiefs at Broncos (-5)
Vikings (-1½) at Raiders
Jaguars at Ravens (-10½)
Browns at Steelers (-7½)
Patriots (-1½) at Giants
Dolphins at Eagles (-3½)
Saints at Redskins (Pick’em)
Lions at Packers (-5)
Texans at Bengals (-4)
6-3 Atlanta Falcons
4-5 Indianapolis Colts
2-7 San Diego Chargers
3-6 San Francisco 49ers