Stats don't lie, but posters who quote stats do
I'm not saying you are intentionally lying, just that you misheard or misremembered.
RealClearPolitics - Articles - NFL's Inferior Overtime
Quote:
In regular-season games from 1974 through 2006, the NFL reports, the winner of the toss has won 53 percent of the games, the loser has won 43 percent, and 4 percent have ended in ties.
In other words, the coin toss skews the expected results by about 5%. Which is a lot less than you would think listening to the periodic uproar, though moving the kickoff to the 30 has apparently increased the skew.