I have to agree with DI's basic proposition. While I believe this team will win 11+ games this season, I'm not upset with anyone who looks at the Pats and thinks they will take a "step back". Remember these guys have to speculate on 32 teams. They just look at the obvious. You cannot deny the loss of offensive production from Hernandez, Welker, and Woodhead, plus the uncertain return of Gronk. If any other team lost what amounts to 85% of their receiver production, we'd expect to see them "take a step back". So why should we begrudge these gusys just because its the Pats.
Here's what they don't see.
1. An OL that could be the best in the league
2. A running game that could be a top 5 unit.
3. A QB who has a history of making EVERY WR he plays with productive
4. An OC who is one of the top offensive minds in the league
5. An ever improving defense who will be in position to carry a very young offense early in the season.
While the Division is still weak, its not as weak as many think. Both the Dolphins and Bills front line talent that is easily as good as the Pats. But both still suffer when you compare the QB's play and overall depth. The Jets will just simply suck this year and have no redeeming qualities other than an entertaining HC
The Pats schedule outside the division is more difficult than last season, IMHO But 11 wins looks doable.
Bottom Line: If you are looking at the Pats superficially, you would HAVE to conclude they are going to take a "step back". If you know the team as well as we do, you are probably confident that this "superficial view" is merely false hope for those teams and their supporters who have been "oppressed" by the Pats for the last decade.