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- May 1, 2008
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I have to admit, I was a bit put off yesterday by how the first 2 rounds went. Not what I expected. Part of me assumed that was good news - BB has never failed to surprise me, and I would be skeptical if he actually did what I thought he should do. But part of me was admittedly a bit bummed out.
Looking at the bigger picture today, BB's plan actually compares fairly well to what I wanted to the Pats to do, though with different players than I had targeted:
1. I wanted to improve the pass rush at OLB, specifically either with Barwin (long-term) and Jason Taylor (short term) or with a trade for Julius Peppers. We've passed on Barwin, but Peppers and Taylor are still options, and we have plenty of ammo to trade for Peppers without cannabalizing our draft if we want to, and can figure out a way to fit his contract in. It seems clear that BB has more confidence in our young OLBs (Crable and Redd) than I gave him credit for, and is not panicking to make a move. I'm disappointed about Barwin and will follow his career with interest, but I have to trust BB's judgment in not making a move for him.
2. I wanted to improve the secondary. Once we signed Bodden and Springs I didn't think we would go CB day 1 in the draft, unless it was a CB/S type like Malcolm Jenkins or Sean Smith. I mainly thought we should target an attacking, physical safety with good coverage ability to complement Brandon Meriweather as a future starter. Louis Delmas was my guy, but I can't complain with the Patrick Chung pick (and who knows, BB might have taken Delmas if he hadn't gone one pick earlier). And with the Ellis Hobbs trade (which makes sense given that we weren't likely to sign him after 2009, seeing what the CB market was like) the Butler pick makes much more sense. If Leigh Bodden shows some of his Cleveland form and we can sign him long term we would have a long-term CB rotation of Butler, Bodden, Wheatley and Wilhite - potentially a better rotation even than 2003. And Meriweather-Chung-Sanders is a solid safety core. It seems clear that upgrading the secondary was BB's biggest priority this offseason, much as adding speed at LB was his top priority last year.
3. I wanted to add depth at DL, both at DT and DE. My dream was Jarren Gilbert at DE in the 2nd and a 3rd-6th round DT such as Chris Baker, Sammie Lee Hill, Vaughn Martin, Dorell Scott or Terrance Knighton. BB clearly agreed with adding depth at DL but went DT first with Ron Brace. I was taken by surprise by this move, but again, IBBIT.
4. I wanted to add a possible starter at SILB to complement Mayo and Guyton. Unless we could trade up for Aaron Curry, my preference was taking one in the 3rd-4th round, with a preference for Jason Williams. Williams went early in the 3rd round, but Tyrone McKenzie is a similar type of player who should make a nice addition to the ILB rotation. No argument there.
5. I wanted to add a long-term player at WR in the 3rd-5th round, with my favorite target being Mike Wallace from Mississippi. Wallace went #90, one pick after BB took Brandon Tate. Tate wasn't on my board because of injury and MJ issues, but if BB wants to take a gamble on a high upside guy who wouldn't otherwise have been available, it's fine by me.
6. I wanted to add long-term depth at OL, both at OT and OG. My choices were William Beatty at OT and TJ Lang, Trevor Canfield, and Brandon Walker at OG. BB clearly agreed with adding depth at OL, but liked different guys. I'm a bit surprised by Sebastian Vollmer in the 2nd, but if BB likes Vollmer, Ohrnberger, and Bussey, then I can't argue it.
In addition, BB showed why he is so much smarter than everyone else, including of course me. He did all of that while saving cap room by trading out of the 1st round, and while acquiring 2 additional 2010 second round picks. That gives us ammo to trade for an impact player (possibly even one of Peppers, Suggs or Dansby, though I think that is very unlikely), to trade up next year, or to acquire another bushel of talent.
My thoughts for our remaining picks (having whiffed so far):
- Devin Moore, RB, Wyoming - long-term replacement for Kevin Faulk
- Brian Hoyer, QB, Michigan St.
- Everette Pedescleaux or Zach Potter, DE
- Maurice Evans, DE/OLB - maybe BB could light a fire under this kid.
Looking at the bigger picture today, BB's plan actually compares fairly well to what I wanted to the Pats to do, though with different players than I had targeted:
1. I wanted to improve the pass rush at OLB, specifically either with Barwin (long-term) and Jason Taylor (short term) or with a trade for Julius Peppers. We've passed on Barwin, but Peppers and Taylor are still options, and we have plenty of ammo to trade for Peppers without cannabalizing our draft if we want to, and can figure out a way to fit his contract in. It seems clear that BB has more confidence in our young OLBs (Crable and Redd) than I gave him credit for, and is not panicking to make a move. I'm disappointed about Barwin and will follow his career with interest, but I have to trust BB's judgment in not making a move for him.
2. I wanted to improve the secondary. Once we signed Bodden and Springs I didn't think we would go CB day 1 in the draft, unless it was a CB/S type like Malcolm Jenkins or Sean Smith. I mainly thought we should target an attacking, physical safety with good coverage ability to complement Brandon Meriweather as a future starter. Louis Delmas was my guy, but I can't complain with the Patrick Chung pick (and who knows, BB might have taken Delmas if he hadn't gone one pick earlier). And with the Ellis Hobbs trade (which makes sense given that we weren't likely to sign him after 2009, seeing what the CB market was like) the Butler pick makes much more sense. If Leigh Bodden shows some of his Cleveland form and we can sign him long term we would have a long-term CB rotation of Butler, Bodden, Wheatley and Wilhite - potentially a better rotation even than 2003. And Meriweather-Chung-Sanders is a solid safety core. It seems clear that upgrading the secondary was BB's biggest priority this offseason, much as adding speed at LB was his top priority last year.
3. I wanted to add depth at DL, both at DT and DE. My dream was Jarren Gilbert at DE in the 2nd and a 3rd-6th round DT such as Chris Baker, Sammie Lee Hill, Vaughn Martin, Dorell Scott or Terrance Knighton. BB clearly agreed with adding depth at DL but went DT first with Ron Brace. I was taken by surprise by this move, but again, IBBIT.
4. I wanted to add a possible starter at SILB to complement Mayo and Guyton. Unless we could trade up for Aaron Curry, my preference was taking one in the 3rd-4th round, with a preference for Jason Williams. Williams went early in the 3rd round, but Tyrone McKenzie is a similar type of player who should make a nice addition to the ILB rotation. No argument there.
5. I wanted to add a long-term player at WR in the 3rd-5th round, with my favorite target being Mike Wallace from Mississippi. Wallace went #90, one pick after BB took Brandon Tate. Tate wasn't on my board because of injury and MJ issues, but if BB wants to take a gamble on a high upside guy who wouldn't otherwise have been available, it's fine by me.
6. I wanted to add long-term depth at OL, both at OT and OG. My choices were William Beatty at OT and TJ Lang, Trevor Canfield, and Brandon Walker at OG. BB clearly agreed with adding depth at OL, but liked different guys. I'm a bit surprised by Sebastian Vollmer in the 2nd, but if BB likes Vollmer, Ohrnberger, and Bussey, then I can't argue it.
In addition, BB showed why he is so much smarter than everyone else, including of course me. He did all of that while saving cap room by trading out of the 1st round, and while acquiring 2 additional 2010 second round picks. That gives us ammo to trade for an impact player (possibly even one of Peppers, Suggs or Dansby, though I think that is very unlikely), to trade up next year, or to acquire another bushel of talent.
My thoughts for our remaining picks (having whiffed so far):
- Devin Moore, RB, Wyoming - long-term replacement for Kevin Faulk
- Brian Hoyer, QB, Michigan St.
- Everette Pedescleaux or Zach Potter, DE
- Maurice Evans, DE/OLB - maybe BB could light a fire under this kid.