The only preview really worth reading. Set aside 30 minutes though : FOOTBALL OUTSIDERS: Innovative Statistics, Intelligent Analysis | AFC Championship Game Preview A few teases : Week 1-10 our defense was 45% worse than average on passes thrown over 20 yards. Since then it's 3% better than average. Ravens' starting CB Cary Williams has terrible numbers, 82nd in success rate and 59th in yards per pass. Ravens defense had the biggest gap between yards per attempt without play action to yards per attempt with play action (meaning they're terrible when facing play action. Lots, lots more at the link.