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CLICK HERE to Register for a free account and login for a smoother ad-free experience. It's easy, and only takes a few moments.Yup. As I said in another thread, an SB win this year would somewhat make up for 2008, when the Patriots were on a roll come season’s end and could have steamrolled to the title had they gotten in.
Based off DVOA, which adjusts for opponent, they have a better pass defense than the Broncos did when they won, and that was the previous best pass defense of the 2000s.
One thing to keep in mind is that FO redefined DVOA several years ago. It used to be an absolute measure relative to a fixed baseline year. Now it is a relative measure relative to each year’s league averages.
For example, if defense X in 2017 was 50% better than the 2017 average it will get a -50% (approximately). If defense Y in 2014 was 30% better than the 2014 average it will get a -30% even if Y was actually a better defense than X (perhaps all defenses were crappier in 2017).
Point is that you can no longer use DVOA to compare between years. The best you can do is say something like “the 2017 Foobars were more above 2017 averages than the 2015 Quxxes were above 2015 averages.”
Good point. That said, you could make the argument that the Jaguars of this year having the largest margin between them and the median pass defense since 2003 at the very least puts them in a vague category of "historically good" even if it doesn't measure definitively compared to the 2015 Broncos or whatever.
(For what it's worth, I'm fairly confident the Patriots will win this game comfortably.)