On August 12, the parties will meet with Judge Berman for a settlement conference. Judge Berman will attempt to ascertain if the parties can find a middle ground in their dispute. For instance, he will try to uncover whether Brady would be willing to accept a lesser punishment—perhaps a one-game suspension—even though his testimony exhibits a complete denial of any wrongdoing. Judge Berman will likely warn Brady and the NFLPA that if he issues a ruling on the merits, it will be based primarily on the lawfulness of the process used by the NFL to judge Brady. That analysis would be different from whether Brady actually partook in a ball deflation scheme.
In other words, Judge Berman could have serious doubts that Brady “did it” and yet still rule for the NFL because he reasons that the NFL adequately applied Article 46 of the collective bargaining agreement. This may seem like a counterintuitive conclusion, but Judge Berman is not ruling on whether Brady is guilty of the underlying accusations but rather on how lawfully the NFL evaluated those accusations.
If the parties fail to reach a settlement on August 12, Judge Berman appears interested in trying for additional settlement talks on August 19. If the settlement talks fail, Judge Berman appears willing to issue a decision by September 4. Judge Berman’s decision would not be based on any new evidence or new testimony, but rather on the record used by Goodell in his appeal. This is the same record that was made public by the NFLPA on Tuesday. Judge Berman would either confirm Goodell’s decision to uphold Brady’s suspension or vacate it, which would lift Brady’s suspension. Brady would then be eligible to play in the Patriots’ season opener against the Pittsburgh
Steelers on September 10. The “loser” of Judge Berman’s decision could appeal to the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit but it could take months before the Second Circuit renders a decision.