Patspsycho
Veteran Starter w/Big Long Term Deal
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Going to look at the game closely then step back and look at the big picture here.
There are quite a few myths to dispel here.
Brady's INT had no effect on the game (Jets did not score)
Welker's benching had no effect on the game (that first drive was pretty efficient right up to the bad screen pass by Brady.
Crumpler's drop had no effect on the game.
However:
Lousy G/RG play had an effect on the game. Example: 1st sack, 1q 5:40 1 and 10, Connolly loses BOB battle with Ellis.
Lousy playcalling had an effect on the game.
The botched fake punt was a huge momentum shift.
There was not any one point in the game where the Jets suddenly won the momentum. It was built up slowly over each possession when it dawned on them that it was going to be a low scoring game and that their grandiose defense schemes was really going to work. It was going to be a lowdown drag out maul, and that energized them, and did the opposite to the Patriots who just were in completely unfamiliar territory, not scoring a single TD in the entire 1st half.
Crumpler drops the ball.. fine, **** happens, but then on the next snap, the choice is to go empty. Why? Pretty stupid to go empty on a short field because there's so little field to cover and defense doesn't have to play honest, and they didn't. They sold man to man at the line and then went massive zone. I counted no less than 7 men in zone (Revis is in man coverage on Tate who he mauls and chops and holds). You can see some of the players fake man to man, such as Kyle Wilson who sells that he's in press coverage on Branch but in fact allows Branch to blow by him because he knows the back end is flooded. Branch shows that he is fooled because he turns for the comeback which is not what you do in zone (Wilson is just a step away).
2nd sack 1q 1:38 3rd and 5, Koppen becomes lazy and loses track of Ellis because he has help from Connolly and it looks like he's thinking "Brady must have thrown by now" because he inexplicably just stops jamming Ellis after Connolly releases to... nothing.. (this must have been his cue to start thinking Brady had thrown) and starts to stand there.
And again, empty on 3rd and 5 (2nd 13:07) bonehead call here. Jets know exactly what is coming and it looks like they have an either/or option scheme set because even though Woodhead motion strongside and stays there, Smith (shading woodhead) continues motioning to weakside 6 tech where he stays in the slot, and Coleman motions as if to drop in zone, but moves back into the slot, so my guess is that whichever side Woodhead motions to, it is the responsibility of the opposite to blitz because once Woodhead motions weakside, you can see Coleman crouch so you know that was his identification to blitz. Again the defense isn't being kept honest. They don't have to because there is no ******* run threat. Ryan might be a slobbering loudmouth tub of obscene goo but he outschemed BB/BOB here.
That is two ******* straight 3rd and five where an empty formation is called. Credit the Jets. They ignored the formation and came with their adjustments. BJGE is on the side of a milk carton at this point even though he's averaging 6 or 7 YPC (he has one no gain and one tackle for loss IIRC that drops his average to 4.7 YPC).
Even then, the Jets continued to sputter and struggle, then their turn to have a 3rd and 6- Sanchez experiences zero pressure (our inside rushing is nonexistent, see Brace, Wright, et al). Then you see the infamous helmet pin/catch by Edwards that brings them all the way down to inside the 10, and you know the rest.
Unlike us, the Jets had a backfield threat (LT) that kept the defense honest. Just a great play there. A nice double pick to clean LT and give him a free release to the TD.
What do we do after this? Do we adapt? Do we recognize that the Jets are daring us to run on them? They are essentially conceding the run game to us in favor of going MOFC on Brady. No. Empty, woodhead, empty, woodhead, empty, empty, and ******* empty. I'm reminded of a ******* first grader trying to force a ball through a square. You may raise the point that Woodhead is after all, a running back, and I will point out that he is NOT a POWER back. Jets will not adjust for him in the same way they adjust for BJGE who you must cluster on or he will just power through.
There are quite a few myths to dispel here.
Brady's INT had no effect on the game (Jets did not score)
Welker's benching had no effect on the game (that first drive was pretty efficient right up to the bad screen pass by Brady.
Crumpler's drop had no effect on the game.
However:
Lousy G/RG play had an effect on the game. Example: 1st sack, 1q 5:40 1 and 10, Connolly loses BOB battle with Ellis.
Lousy playcalling had an effect on the game.
The botched fake punt was a huge momentum shift.
There was not any one point in the game where the Jets suddenly won the momentum. It was built up slowly over each possession when it dawned on them that it was going to be a low scoring game and that their grandiose defense schemes was really going to work. It was going to be a lowdown drag out maul, and that energized them, and did the opposite to the Patriots who just were in completely unfamiliar territory, not scoring a single TD in the entire 1st half.
Crumpler drops the ball.. fine, **** happens, but then on the next snap, the choice is to go empty. Why? Pretty stupid to go empty on a short field because there's so little field to cover and defense doesn't have to play honest, and they didn't. They sold man to man at the line and then went massive zone. I counted no less than 7 men in zone (Revis is in man coverage on Tate who he mauls and chops and holds). You can see some of the players fake man to man, such as Kyle Wilson who sells that he's in press coverage on Branch but in fact allows Branch to blow by him because he knows the back end is flooded. Branch shows that he is fooled because he turns for the comeback which is not what you do in zone (Wilson is just a step away).
2nd sack 1q 1:38 3rd and 5, Koppen becomes lazy and loses track of Ellis because he has help from Connolly and it looks like he's thinking "Brady must have thrown by now" because he inexplicably just stops jamming Ellis after Connolly releases to... nothing.. (this must have been his cue to start thinking Brady had thrown) and starts to stand there.
And again, empty on 3rd and 5 (2nd 13:07) bonehead call here. Jets know exactly what is coming and it looks like they have an either/or option scheme set because even though Woodhead motion strongside and stays there, Smith (shading woodhead) continues motioning to weakside 6 tech where he stays in the slot, and Coleman motions as if to drop in zone, but moves back into the slot, so my guess is that whichever side Woodhead motions to, it is the responsibility of the opposite to blitz because once Woodhead motions weakside, you can see Coleman crouch so you know that was his identification to blitz. Again the defense isn't being kept honest. They don't have to because there is no ******* run threat. Ryan might be a slobbering loudmouth tub of obscene goo but he outschemed BB/BOB here.
That is two ******* straight 3rd and five where an empty formation is called. Credit the Jets. They ignored the formation and came with their adjustments. BJGE is on the side of a milk carton at this point even though he's averaging 6 or 7 YPC (he has one no gain and one tackle for loss IIRC that drops his average to 4.7 YPC).
Even then, the Jets continued to sputter and struggle, then their turn to have a 3rd and 6- Sanchez experiences zero pressure (our inside rushing is nonexistent, see Brace, Wright, et al). Then you see the infamous helmet pin/catch by Edwards that brings them all the way down to inside the 10, and you know the rest.
Unlike us, the Jets had a backfield threat (LT) that kept the defense honest. Just a great play there. A nice double pick to clean LT and give him a free release to the TD.
What do we do after this? Do we adapt? Do we recognize that the Jets are daring us to run on them? They are essentially conceding the run game to us in favor of going MOFC on Brady. No. Empty, woodhead, empty, woodhead, empty, empty, and ******* empty. I'm reminded of a ******* first grader trying to force a ball through a square. You may raise the point that Woodhead is after all, a running back, and I will point out that he is NOT a POWER back. Jets will not adjust for him in the same way they adjust for BJGE who you must cluster on or he will just power through.
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