Another how Jax can beat pats column

Guys, I think we should be realistic. I hate to say this, but getting beat on Saturday is a distinct possibility. And no, I'm not a Jags fan. I'm just trying t be realistic

Bradybeingbrady said:

Guys, I think we should be realistic. I hate to say this, but getting beat on Saturday is a distinct possibility. And no, I'm not a Jags fan. I'm just trying t be realistic

Click to expand...

Absolutely. It's a possibility EVERY week. I was doing a little math, and i think it's VERY telling. If you have an amazing team, and every week, no matter how good the opponent, you have a .70% chance of winning. That would still mean that your chances of winning 19 in a row are 1 in a 1000.

My point is this, I don't think even the best teams in the history of the NFL, and I'm not ready to annoint this pats team as the best ever yet, shouldn't get significantly more than 70% chance on any given week. In my opinion, 70% is a VERY big favorite to win. Let's suppose that we say the pats have an 80% chance of winning this week..or even 85%... 15% is STILL a serious prospect of a loss.

With the schedule the pats had this year, I can't believe they had more than a 70% chance on average, which to my mind makes this even more amazing.

All that said..

Go Patriots!

SVN said:

http://msn.foxsports.com/nfl/story/7649878

Click to expand...

It seems the media wants the Pats to lose bad. I guess the old saying is true people don't like people who win all the time. If I were a Pats fan I would be proud. I live in Boston so I hear all the coverage as well.

Deus Irae said:

It didn't get boring to sports shows. It didn't get boring to television audiences.


Oddly enough, it mostly got boring to the trolls from opposing teams. Hmmm....

Click to expand...

Your panic button is either really big or your fingers are really twitchy.

Bradybeingbrady said:

Guys, I think we should be realistic. I hate to say this, but getting beat on Saturday is a distinct possibility. And no, I'm not a Jags fan. I'm just trying t be realistic

Click to expand...

Don't you mean "distant", not distinct? Anything is possible.. but whether it is probable or not is the question...

On paper and given the history of the game, sure, it's possible that the Jaguars could beat the Pats.

However, the probability of this is quite bleak... Maybe the Jags should start the first quarter with a return kick for TD... this could give them a very slight edge towards winning (assuming they ever pull it off with Jones-Drew)... But this possibility will quickly be erased when TB scores repeatedly on each possession... By the half, the possibilty will still exist but the probability would be zero....

Here are facts:

1- Pats faced Jag 2 times in the last 2 or 3 years.
3- Pats has been in play off games and won 3 SBs.
4-BB is the best NFL coach.
5-Pats has the best QB and receivers and experienced D and O line.

Pats will win because of our experiences.

RodRustsGhost said:

Absolutely. It's a possibility EVERY week. I was doing a little math, and i think it's VERY telling. If you have an amazing team, and every week, no matter how good the opponent, you have a .70% chance of winning. That would still mean that your chances of winning 19 in a row are 1 in a 1000.

My point is this, I don't think even the best teams in the history of the NFL, and I'm not ready to annoint this pats team as the best ever yet, shouldn't get significantly more than 70% chance on any given week. In my opinion, 70% is a VERY big favorite to win. Let's suppose that we say the pats have an 80% chance of winning this week..or even 85%... 15% is STILL a serious prospect of a loss.

With the schedule the pats had this year, I can't believe they had more than a 70% chance on average, which to my mind makes this even more amazing.


Go Patriots!

Click to expand...

This is one of the best observations Ive heard on this. If you look at it this way, it does make the Pats run even more impressive. Having said that, the jags are no push over. I dont think they will win but I do think they'll give you a run for your money. Here's to a great game. Good Luck

RodRustsGhost said:

Absolutely. It's a possibility EVERY week. I was doing a little math, and i think it's VERY telling. If you have an amazing team, and every week, no matter how good the opponent, you have a .70% chance of winning. That would still mean that your chances of winning 19 in a row are 1 in a 1000.

My point is this, I don't think even the best teams in the history of the NFL, and I'm not ready to annoint this pats team as the best ever yet, shouldn't get significantly more than 70% chance on any given week. In my opinion, 70% is a VERY big favorite to win. Let's suppose that we say the pats have an 80% chance of winning this week..or even 85%... 15% is STILL a serious prospect of a loss.

With the schedule the pats had this year, I can't believe they had more than a 70% chance on average, which to my mind makes this even more amazing.

All that said..

Go Patriots!

Click to expand...

If you flip a coin 100 times and you get 90 heads, 10 tails, what do you conclude?
a- An amazing streak (miraculous)
b- The coin is a trick coin (head bias)

Without knowing anything about the coin, the correct answer is b.

Likewise, you can turn your argument around to say that given the Pats got 16-0 (evidence) what would have been their most likely real chance of winning. Now you can be really amazed. It means the Pats are incredibly capable of winning in 90+%

However, the chance varies each game, it's higher against Miami and lower against Colts. My estimate against the Jaguars is around 79%, of course they can lose.

In the end of the game between Jag vs Steelers, sport showhosts let Jag coach know what they need to do to defeat Pats.

This is not something new. We are taking risk every day and our football game is going to be like that.

I have the confident in BB and Brady to carry our team to the end. I'm not scared about it.

Giants is leading NFL in the number of 'sacked' but Brady was not sacked as much as they expected. Giants and Steelers are physical teams too and we WON.

why are you worried something that doesn't exist.?

Bradybeingbrady said:

Guys, I think we should be realistic. I hate to say this, but getting beat on Saturday is a distinct possibility. And no, I'm not a Jags fan. I'm just trying t be realistic

Click to expand...

I smell horse...anybody else?

Tommysgirl said:

I smell horse...anybody else?

Click to expand...

Me too. I stayed away from the stench. I don't like to feed trolls.

Bradybeingbrady said:

Guys, I think we should be realistic. I hate to say this, but getting beat on Saturday is a distinct possibility. And no, I'm not a Jags fan. I'm just trying t be realistic

Click to expand...

you should not watch the game this sat if you are a wuss.

NEPatriot said:

you should not watch the game this sat if you are a wuss.

Click to expand...

He's a Colt fan without the cajones to say it. Pathetic.

Ballhawk21 said:

They have a pretty good shot at beating you guys, they know how to play a passing team. I dont think its going to be easy for you guys.

Click to expand...

Yup! The Jaguars certainly know how to beat a passing team ......................

http://www.nfl.com/gamecenter?game_id=29316&displayPage=tab_gamecenter&season=2007&week=REG9

Bradybeingbrady said:

Guys, I think we should be realistic. I hate to say this, but getting beat on Saturday is a distinct possibility. And no, I'm not a Jags fan. I'm just trying t be realistic

Click to expand...

Another worthless rookie on the PatsFans message board!