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The thing is, quarterbacks have to be almost perfect in order to succeed.
Do they have all the arm strength to make all the throws?
Can they throw the ball accurately & into tight spaces?
Can they handle the pass rush?
Do they have the mental ability to understand elite defenses?
Do they have the work ethic to prepare for opponents properly?
Do they have the maturity to avoid off-field distractions and achieve all of these consistently?
I don't think many people doubt that Winston has the ability to do the first 5, it's number 6 that's the problem. The fear is that at some point, off-the-field issues will take over - whether it's alcohol, drugs, women or something else.
If you're the owner of a QB-needy team, are you willing to give him several million dollars, 6 months a year of free time and the keys to your franchise?
Start with the number 32, for the number of teams in the league
Come up with the number of all the NFL QBs who are legit, and subtract it from the number above
You've now found, approximately, the number of teams that have almost no shot of winning the Super Bowl anytime soon. That's why teams who miss on the QB will keep drafting QBs. That's why Johnny Manziel got drafted in the first round. That's why Mark Sanchez went #5 in the draft.
In today's NFL, you need the quarterback. If you don't have him, you almost might as well spend all 7 draft picks trying to find him.