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Pats are 6.5 point underdogs next week at Denver


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Denver's 7th ranked run defense is mostly a factor to their offense putting opposing offenses into pass mode, similar to our run defense in recent years.
 
when is last time odds have been right a week before the game? You watch they will become allot closer as game time gets closer.

When are the odds considered right? Vegas is just trying to split the bets down the middle. It will only come down if people heavily bet on the Pats which I'm not convinced will happen.
 
This is more like it, road dog in AFCCG. worked during the sb run
 
Denver's 7th ranked run defense is mostly a factor to their offense putting opposing offenses into pass mode, similar to our run defense in recent years.

They are 7th in yards per carry. I would think that if Denver is way ahead, they would pay less attention to the run, but their YPC is still very good. That being said, they have given up a lot of 20+ runs and TDs on the ground.
 
When are the odds considered right? Vegas is just trying to split the bets down the middle. It will only come down if people heavily bet on the Pats which I'm not convinced will happen.

Can you blame the people who bet on the pats there just going to be right.
 
They are 7th in yards per carry. I would think that if Denver is way ahead, they would pay less attention to the run, but their YPC is still very good. That being said, they have given up a lot of 20+ runs and TDs on the ground.

I think you need to put faith that your OL and RB are better than their run defense. our success as of the last 3 games has been you want to put 8 in the box? ok we are still going to run right through you. and by and large we have.

I like the pats being a more physical team denver is more finesse
 
Just because chargers couldn't doesn't mean we can't. Our O line is far superior to the chargers in the run game. I do think Brady will pass it more next week simply because Denver's pass D is awful.

Chargers have gone through 16 different offensive linemen this year. Five different left tackles. While watching this game I couldn't help but think that they ran the ball better last week against Cinci when Hardwick got hurt and ex-Patriot Ohrenberger came in...
 
I just don't get how Seattle is favored by 3.5 and Denver is by 6. It would be weird if Denver wasn't favored at home but 6 points seems excessive.
 
Denver might have the 7th ranked run defense but the Patriots rushed for 116 yards in that game with Blount and Ridley out by the second drive. As long as the game stays close I'd expect the Blount/Ridley duo to have a big day.
 
First time we've been underdogs in the postseason in a long time. I love it!
 
Only 6.5? I'm surprised it's not higher.
 
Pats are 6.5 point underdogs next week

Only 6.5? I'm surprised it's not higher.


They are taking in account that welker will drop crucial passes to keep them out of scoring position lol

Now he will probably have a monster game.
 
I think it's awesome. If memory serves, the pundits in their power rankings have the Pats rated as least of the surviving teams. No need to manufacture the disrespect card.
 
I think it's awesome. If memory serves, the pundits in their power rankings have the Pats rated as least of the surviving teams. ...

Hard to argue, when you look at the season and all the Pats have been through. Personally the team's transformation since Miami gives me more confidence.

Also, as a side note, i think the Pats match up better against SF or SEA than the Broncos would.
 
when is last time odds have been right a week before the game? You watch they will become allot closer as game time gets closer.

for any game? what does this mean?

The market is reacting to the Pats drubbing the Colts and the Broncos eking it out against the Chargers, it could easily go the other way
 
I know the Broncos are at home but a 6.5 spread seems high to me, we beat them in the regular season, we just beat the #4 seed by 21 points while the Broncos hung on to beat the 6 seed by 7 points. John Fox is 0-4 against the Patriots as the coach of the Broncos over the past 3 seasons and Peyton Manning is 7-12 career against the Patriots and his 25 interception against the Patriots is the most against any team in his career.
 
Denver's 7th ranked run defense is mostly a factor to their offense putting opposing offenses into pass mode, similar to our run defense in recent years.

After Ridley got benched for fumbling against Denver, Brandon Bolden got 4.5 YPC. I think Blount and Ridley could do better.
 
I think Vegas recognizes that the regular season game was a draw.
They are giving 3 points for home field advantage and 3.5 points for Gronk.
Sounds about right.
 
The thing about the previous game: I think people will discount the comeback as freakish and lucky. Folks who buy that will forget that Denver built its lead in a pretty freakish manner, with all those Pats turnovers.
 
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I think Vegas recognizes that the regular season game was a draw.
They are giving 3 points for home field advantage and 3.5 points for Gronk.
Sounds about right.

Are they also expecting the Pats to spot the Broncos 21 points off of fumbles again? If your reasoning is their reasoning, then they are flawed.

Not saying the Pats shouldn't be dogs, but the last game was a draw (although I seem to remember the Pats coming out with a W and not a T) because the Pats made a lot of uncharacteristic mistakes early that out them in a huge hole.
 
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