As I said yesterday, all 8 OT's likely enough to start at LT are gone. I suspect that we'll still draft an OT or two after trade down.
I'm sure there are folks who think that there is no problem drafting a starting LT in the 2nd or 3rd, even if they are the 9th or 10th best OT in the draft...
WAS is drafting Daniels. That is the only given.
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We could trade with CHI who wants their choice of WR
We could trade with the NYG who want a QB.
We could trade with AZ who we could threaten (no trade and we trade with someone else who will pick a WR)
We could...
I was looking at one the more popular mock drafts. 8 OT's were gone in the first round, with a couple of more at the top of the 2nd (Paul at 37 and Suamataia at 41) with no more for 10 or so picks.
I really, really want us to draft an OT at 34. However, I don't think even I would pass on...
We will add a QB and at least one OT and probably an OG late in the draft. We may even sign an additional free agent.
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QUARTERBACK
Bissette replaced Jones. Rourke and Zappe are back, at least for now.
IOL
All are back from last year, except that the youngsters have...
I considered 10 top QB's from memory: Brady, Mahomes, Manning, Rodgers, Brees, Favre, Allen, Jackson, Prescott and Russell Wilson. I believe that only Manning was picked in the first.
MVP QUALITY QUARTERBACK
I believe that top 5, MVP type QB's are very rare and could come from anywhere...
The reality is that the players have haven agreement that forces new employees to work for someone they don't wish to work for. They have no choice for four years. Yes, they are paid well. Previous players have negotiated with regard to how much current players are paid.
Except for a...
How many QB's in the first 16 picks?
I think that the answer will be 5 by pick 12. I just can't see CHI, WAS, NE, MIN or DEN passing on a QB. I saw one mock where MIN trades up to 4 or 5 and then DEN refuses to risk missing Penix and drafts him at 8.
I think that the big questions are the...
If we think that what is there at 3 is a potential top QB, then we should pick him, period.
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WHAT IF WE THINK THAT THERE ARE 2 TOP QB's, BOTH GONE
Now, it is time to focus on finding a starting QB with a relatively high floor. We can hope, but we really are looking for a...
I would like to see Elliot decide where he will play in 2024 (here of Dallas). We do need another RB.
A LT signing is certainly possible, and desirable.
The rest can wait until after the draft (free safety, DT, 3rd TE, backup LG, STers).
The STer are almost all gone.
11 players played in at least 35% of the ST reps. 8 are gone.
Schooler, Tavai and Mapu are left.
GONE
Board
Slater
Phillips
Wilson
P. Brown
Davis
Montgomery
Guy
I'm fine with trying to trade for a relatively young #1 WR. He would be part of the 2026 divisional run. That trade could come anytime this year. However, it seems more likely that we will sign a WR or two in the next off-season.
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WR IN THE DRAFT
I suspect that this is a low priority...
The secret is that extending veterans almost always reduces their 2024 cap hit. That is why extensions are an important tool is making more cap money available in the current year.
https://overthecap.com/salary-cap/new-england-patriots
Obviously, a lot depends on the details of the contract...
DEFENSE ISSUE ONE - SAFETY
This is one place I could see us adding a player, or two if Dugger isn't on the 2024 team.
We still need a free safety. Perhaps it is Mapu, perhaps Hawkins, perhaps Bledsoe, perhaps Peppers and the same schemes as in 2023.
============
DEFENSE ISSUE TWO - 2025 FREE...
WHERE WE ARE ON MARCH 26th
-------------------------------------
1. We've re-signed all of our free agents that we wanted as part of the future.
2. Where we lost folks, we made replacements, usually upgrades:
LB from Wilson to Takitaki,
DT from Guy to Watts,
OL from T. Brown to...
The Defense is in fine shape. Of course, there is an opportunity to upgrade at positions where players are gone.
PLAYERS WHO NEED TO BE RE-SIGNED OR REPLACED
DL - Guy
LB -Jennings
CB - Bryant
CB - Jackson
S - Phillips
S - Mills
I expect that the remaining three ERFA's will be re-signed to the 90 man squad. There is little cost and thery have no choice.
S Bledsoe
LB Elliss
WR Nixon
Rourke, Austin and Wheatley have already been re-signed.
That leaves 15 free agents, including RFA LB Terez Hall.
Are there limits on spreading out salaries?
For example, could a contract have a $2M first year salary and a $14M 2nd yea salary.
I know that this use to be OK, but I thought that they many have changed the rules.
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It would seem that Wilson would want a contract like this, guaranteed of...
I use this site to show the possible relationship between AAV's and first year cap hits.
I would expect the first year cap hit to be 1/3 to 1/2 of AAV. And this might be made lower with mor aggressive use of void years and other tools...
DRAFT
50-50 to get a QB, and would need to use considerable draft resources
If the QB doesn't work out after 3 years, rinse and repeat.
FREE AGENCY
pay 35-40M per year
If the QB doesn't work out, cut in two years, rinse and repeat
THOUGHTS
1) Using the draft includes the first lost year since...
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