Welcome to PatsFans.com

When to go for it on 4th down?

Discussion in 'PatsFans.com - Patriots Fan Forum' started by makewayhomer, Sep 17, 2009.

Thread Status:
Not open for further replies.
  1. makewayhomer

    makewayhomer Rotational Player and Threatening Starter's Job

    Joined:
    Mar 13, 2007
    Messages:
    1,030
    Likes Received:
    1
    Ratings:
    +1 / 0 / -0

    How about every single time

    Interesting story, apropos of this 4 part study which tackles the problem of when teams should be going for it. it's a great read for the more analytically minded football fan out there.

    there have been a few of these studies, and they all say the same thing really: coaches should be going for it far, far, far more than they currently do. they don't b/c they are risk averse, and afraid of losing their jobs b/c the common fan/the public would flip out as soon if things went wrong.

    anyways, good timing to see an article about a team actually (largely) practicing what an academic paper is preaching - and finding success

    here is the conclusion for a "average" team - please don't shriek in hysterics without reading the study first :)

    [​IMG]
     
    Last edited: Sep 17, 2009
  2. patriotscpfc

    patriotscpfc Rotational Player and Threatening Starter's Job

    Joined:
    Feb 20, 2009
    Messages:
    1,034
    Likes Received:
    0
    Ratings:
    +0 / 0 / -0

    Is this the same thing that Belichick has always worked by since he discovered the theory

    (Bellman Equation?)
     
  3. robertweathers

    robertweathers Veteran Starter w/Big Long Term Deal

    Joined:
    Sep 7, 2006
    Messages:
    9,774
    Likes Received:
    566
    Ratings:
    +1,949 / 41 / -17

  4. makewayhomer

    makewayhomer Rotational Player and Threatening Starter's Job

    Joined:
    Mar 13, 2007
    Messages:
    1,030
    Likes Received:
    1
    Ratings:
    +1 / 0 / -0

    , BB goes for it more than anyone else but not as much as the study suggests is optimal
     
Thread Status:
Not open for further replies.

Share This Page

unset ($sidebar_block_show); ?>