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Public image overvaluing favored Patriots

Discussion in 'PatsFans.com - Patriots Fan Forum' started by SVN, Oct 30, 2006.

  1. SVN

    SVN Hall of Fame Poster

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  2. cavtroop

    cavtroop 2nd Team Getting Their First Start

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    #87 Jersey

  3. BelichickFan

    BelichickFan B.O. = Fugazi PatsFans.com Supporter

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    #24 Jersey

    Interesting article. I realize it's common to say that bookies want even money on both sides but that's not always true - sometimes they'll try to win big by getting the public to put money on what they think will be the losing side. Of course, there's a lot more risk to the bookies this way too, but the 50-50 split isn't always what they're going for.

    I would have expected tonight to be about Even and the Colts to be favored by about 2 if you'd asked me blindly.
     
  4. SVN

    SVN Hall of Fame Poster

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    pats are favored by 1 as of now..
    http://www.footballlocks.com/nfl_lines.shtml
     
  5. BelichickFan

    BelichickFan B.O. = Fugazi PatsFans.com Supporter

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    I have no idea how they expect even money on that. Maybe I'm wrong but that line screams to me "put money on Indy" to Joe Fan so that the bookies can clean up when the Patriots inevitably win.

    I may be way off. I know bookies do this because my friend used to be one. But I just don't see a lot of non Patriot fans giving a point to take the Patiots over Indy. Game in New England or not.
     
    Last edited: Oct 30, 2006
  6. Kdo5

    Kdo5 Experienced Starter w/First Big Contract

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    I hate it when we are favoured.
     
  7. Patriotic Fervor

    Patriotic Fervor Rotational Player and Threatening Starter's Job

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    The line is always calculated to maximize betting action. Always!

    If money starts to shift one way, the spread changes because it's deemed this action is not maximizing opportunity for the house.

    You don't really think these guys know anything about football, do you?
     
  8. BelichickFan

    BelichickFan B.O. = Fugazi PatsFans.com Supporter

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    Believe what you want. The line is usually to get even money on both sides. But not always. And I don't think Patriots-1 gets even money on both sides - do you ?
     
  9. frankiesfly

    frankiesfly Rotational Player and Threatening Starter's Job

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    minnesota sucks, and if they werent home, the pats would be 10 point favs.
     

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