Colts get the #3 seed by beating Tennessee, plus Chiefs losing at home to Oakland. Anything else and KC is #3.
Colts are eliminated with both a loss, plus Jags win at Houston - but it looks like Jacksonville is without MJD for that game.
Any other combination than the two scenarios above and Indy is #4.
KC can only be #3 or #4.
Baltimore can only be #2 or #5.
Jacksonville can only be #4 or miss the playoffs; they cannot be a wild card.
#2 seed can only be Pittsburgh or Baltimore
#3 seed can only be Indy or KC
#4 seed could be Indy, KC or Jacksonville
#5 seed could be Ravens, Jets or Steelers
#6 seed can only be Jets or Steelers
Since the Pats are the #1 seed they cannot play the #3 seed in the division round, regardless of what happens in week 17 or in the wild card round.