PonyExpress
In the Starting Line-Up
- Joined
- Feb 12, 2006
- Messages
- 4,659
- Reaction score
- 78
A few different scenarios. I'm using this PFW draft value chart, which is supposedly based on feedback from NFL teams, on where players are likely to come of the board.
http://www.profootballweekly.com/PFW/NFLDraft/Draft+Extras/2008/value040808.htm
Based on 3 year averages, PFW's top 100 and mock draft accuracy run a close 2nd behind Gosselin among major publications, ahead of NFL draft scout, Scott Wright, Scouts Inc. and Mel Kiper.
http://www.thehuddlereport.com/FREE_CONTENT/top100mock.shtml
The PFW chart is very different from other sources and there are a few stunners at this early stage. I was very surprised where Goff, Cason and Groves are listed (IOW, much lower than elsewhere). By draft time this chart will probably be more in tune with reality, so I'm going to continue using it until then as more info becomes available, and change my mocks accordingly. Also, Aqib Talib is apparently off many NFL boards due to drug use, so he's off mine.
Scenario 1: Chris Long drops to #5
Pats trade #7 and #69 for #5: OLB Chris Long
#63: CB Antone Cason (I apologize to "Nepatriots" for criticizing that Cason would not be available here. It looks like he may be, according to PFW)
#94: OT Duane Brown
#129: DE Demario Pressley
#164: DB Molden
#197: LB Goff
#238: FB Schmitt
Scenario 2. Long is gone before #5, Gholston drops to #7.
#7: OLB Gholston
#63: TE Carlson
#69: CB Cason
#94: OT Duane Brown
#129: DE D. Pressley
#164: DB A. Molden
#197: ILB Goff
#238: FB Schmitt
Scenario 3: Long is gone before #5, Gholston is gone before #7
#7: OT Clady
#63: OLB Avril
#69: CB Cason
#94: NT Red Bryant/NT Okam
#129: QB E. Ainge
#164: DB Molden
#197: ILB Goff
#238: FB Schmitt
Scenario 4: C. Long is gone before #5, Gholston and Clady are gone before #7.
#7: NT S. Ellis
#63: OLB Avril
#69: CB Cason
#94: OT Duane Brown
#129: QB E. Ainge
#164: DB Molden
#197: ILB Goff
#238: FB Schmitt
The variables involved in trade downs are too complicated for me at this point. If Ryan falls we will have hit the jackpot.
http://www.profootballweekly.com/PFW/NFLDraft/Draft+Extras/2008/value040808.htm
Based on 3 year averages, PFW's top 100 and mock draft accuracy run a close 2nd behind Gosselin among major publications, ahead of NFL draft scout, Scott Wright, Scouts Inc. and Mel Kiper.
http://www.thehuddlereport.com/FREE_CONTENT/top100mock.shtml
The PFW chart is very different from other sources and there are a few stunners at this early stage. I was very surprised where Goff, Cason and Groves are listed (IOW, much lower than elsewhere). By draft time this chart will probably be more in tune with reality, so I'm going to continue using it until then as more info becomes available, and change my mocks accordingly. Also, Aqib Talib is apparently off many NFL boards due to drug use, so he's off mine.
Scenario 1: Chris Long drops to #5
Pats trade #7 and #69 for #5: OLB Chris Long
#63: CB Antone Cason (I apologize to "Nepatriots" for criticizing that Cason would not be available here. It looks like he may be, according to PFW)
#94: OT Duane Brown
#129: DE Demario Pressley
#164: DB Molden
#197: LB Goff
#238: FB Schmitt
Scenario 2. Long is gone before #5, Gholston drops to #7.
#7: OLB Gholston
#63: TE Carlson
#69: CB Cason
#94: OT Duane Brown
#129: DE D. Pressley
#164: DB A. Molden
#197: ILB Goff
#238: FB Schmitt
Scenario 3: Long is gone before #5, Gholston is gone before #7
#7: OT Clady
#63: OLB Avril
#69: CB Cason
#94: NT Red Bryant/NT Okam
#129: QB E. Ainge
#164: DB Molden
#197: ILB Goff
#238: FB Schmitt
Scenario 4: C. Long is gone before #5, Gholston and Clady are gone before #7.
#7: NT S. Ellis
#63: OLB Avril
#69: CB Cason
#94: OT Duane Brown
#129: QB E. Ainge
#164: DB Molden
#197: ILB Goff
#238: FB Schmitt
The variables involved in trade downs are too complicated for me at this point. If Ryan falls we will have hit the jackpot.
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