I said before in other posts that the mighty awesome Colts Offense is wearing down. If you simply look at points scored stats over a reasonable sample of half a season, it simply doesn't compare to the glory year of 49 TDs.
Back then Harrison was in his HOF prime rather than an old guy trying to recapture his youth while he breaks down with injuries. Harrison is as old a Troy Brown. Is Troy what he once was?
Wayne is in his prime but Stokely, their Wes Welker, is gone and Gonzalez is talented but still a rookie, nonetheless. TE Clark has matured into a threat but only when he can draw off coverage with Wayne and Harrison drawing the main interest. Last year we wanted TE Watson to be the third go to receiver, it didn't work all that well with Reche and Jabbar as the other two.
The Colts appear to have improved the front line of their secondary. At least while the starters are not dinged, as the depth has disappeared. There may be weaknesses in the nickle an dime packages. Their LBs are fast but not very good, and the DL is vastly undersized and still built to play down hill, with a big lead, when when the opposition is passing every down to try to play catchup.
The Cowboys, Redskins and Chargers are teams that we have played that all have superior Defenses, even as they possess other warts. Now the Cards and Bengals have better Offenses, not even to mention the Pats O.
Still home field is an great advantage to a good club; I still expect a comfortable victory margin.