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How will Brady and the passing game be affected by winter?

Discussion in 'PatsFans.com - Patriots Fan Forum' started by BradyManny, Nov 9, 2007.

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  1. BradyManny

    BradyManny Rookie

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    So I was wondering what the impending winter weather might do to Brady's historic stats. Taking a quick look at the stats (which yes, can be misleading, but are the most readily available thing we have to judge), my conclusions are: a) Brady plays best when it matters b) Brady seems to be just as accurate in cold weather

    After mediocre Decembers in 01 and 02 (rating wise), Brady's passer ratings in December:

    06: 90.1
    05: 100.3
    04: 93.7
    03: 99.5


    A closer look reveals a slight dip in YPA and yards in the month, that I think we can attribute that to weather.

    Another readily available split is how he fared in <40F weather:

    06: 34.0* - (only one game, Indy game, threw 4 picks)
    05: 99.1 - (decent sample size, 114 attempts: pretty good #s, 69.3%, 6 TDs, 3 INTs, 7.85 YPA)
    04: 113.4 - (Again, decent sample size, 88 attempts: good #s, 6 TDs, 1 int. 69.3% completion)
    03: 88.8 - (159 attempts, completion % dips to 55.3, but still throws 7TDs to only 1 INT)
    02: (surprisingly appears to have no <40 F starts)
    01: 67.4 - (struggled, 2TDs to 5 INTs, 59.5 %

    He was remarkably accurate in 04 & 05 when his receiving corps was as close as it's been to the level it is now (which is still far below).

    Overall, this cursory look at Brady's stats show Brady is just as accurate in the cold weather (a game-by-game look at bad weather games might reveal more) and it has - no surprise - shown that overall Brady is at his best when it matters most, in the winter months.
    Last edited: Nov 9, 2007
  2. patsox23

    patsox23 Rookie

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    We will win, win, win. He will throw, possibly less often, but not all that less often. And slick surfaces and wet conditions favor the passing game. It's the wind that could be troubling, but he handles it better than everyone else, so I'm not worried at all. The weather will be an advantage or, at worst, a wash, IMO.
  3. BradyManny

    BradyManny Rookie

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    Yeah I agree. Wind is probably the biggest factor. We all know slick & snow just helps the receivers more than anything as they know when their breaks are coming.
  4. PatsWickedPissah

    PatsWickedPissah PatsFans.com Supporter PatsFans.com Supporter

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    And the Pats do have some heavier cold weather style RBs like Eckle and Evans to complement Maroney and Faulk. Brady has always excelled in the short passing game.
  5. FrontSeven

    FrontSeven Rookie

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    Don't forget, receivers have the edge in icy or wet conditions.

    The only thing I'd sweat is the wind, but the kid has a gun and is smart enough to know what he can do and can't do with it.
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