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Cold Hard Football Facts rates the draft experts...


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DarrylS

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From CHFF rates the draft prognosticators, interesting how much the do or do not know and how unpredictable this whole thing is...guess they all made some cash this weekend.

http://www.coldhardfootballfacts.com/Article.php?Page=789&Category=1

Year after year, we watch as the draft "experts" profess to have the inside information on how the draft will go down. Year after year, they put their expertise on the line through the most useless activity on Planet Pigskin, the mock draft.

Year after year, they fail miserably. The 2006 draft was no exception.

Our take on the exercise in futility that is the mock draft is well documented. It's a scandal that so much time, energy, emotion and ink -- by "pundits" and by fans -- is devoted to something destined to fail.

Here's how our six "pundits" stacked up in both categories:
"Pundit" Correct players Correct positions
OurLads.com 9 of 32 (28.1%) 12 of 32 (37.5%)
Ron Borges* 8 of 32 (25%) 16 of 32 (50.0%)
FoxSports.com 8 of 32 (25%) 13 of 32 (40.6%)
Mel Kiper 7 of 32 (21.9%) 12 of 32 (37.5%)
Scouts Inc. 6 of 32 (18.7%) 11 of 32 (34.4%)
Pete Prisco 4 of 32 (12.5%) 9 of 32 (28.1%)
 
Year after year, we watch as the draft "experts" profess to have the inside information on how the draft will go down. Year after year, they put their expertise on the line through the most useless activity on Planet Pigskin, the mock draft.

Year after year, they fail miserably. The 2006 draft was no exception.

Our take on the exercise in futility that is the mock draft is well documented. It's a scandal that so much time, energy, emotion and ink -- by "pundits" and by fans -- is devoted to something destined to fail.
Chill out CHFF. Lots of time andenergy is devoted to the draft. So what? I shouldn't look at any mocks because they aren'texactly right.

This is Ron Borges type journalism, twisting facts to suit a pre-determined result. It sounds like all the mocks were very wrong, only 25 to 50% right, when in fact all the mocks were very close. No, the exaqct order wasn't right, but generally withing a few picks, the draft only had a couple surprises.

Mock drafts from pundits is how most fans geta feel for the relative worth of players. We may disagree to a slight degree (GB will take Davis, not Huff) but everyone has most picks pretty close,at least in the first round. No pundit had Davis or Huff going in round 2, for instance.

Getting a feel for relative player worth is what lets me be surprised when Buffalo trades up for a player they shoudld have traded down for (how could anyone guess that?), and be surprised when a first round value falls to us in round 2.

I like mocks (except the one that drove me off our draft forum :), but that is another story)
 
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