Danger Zone
In the Starting Line-Up
- Joined
- Aug 17, 2011
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The fuming over Harmon in particular is a head-scratcher. He was picked at the very end of round 3 last year and is now the top backup to McCourty. What's the problem?
As for "value," check this out:
- "Inexcusable reach" Duron Harmon has 3 career interceptions and 5 passes defended.
- The 5 DBs selected after him have combined for 1 career interception and 6 passes defended.
Sad thing is. Most of them just want to whine or pile on Belichick and most of them will not give any thought to the fact that in the NFL on average 75% of all late third round picks end up being busts.
It varies by round, but there is roughly 20-25% different in Bust Rates from the top of any given round to the bottom.
Now guess who has had the worst average draft position of any NFL franchise over the past 14 years?
We have drafted at an average Draft Position of 26. By far the worst in the league. The next worst team I believe is either 21 or 22. Over the last handful of years our average Draft Position is up around 28.
That 25% difference in Bust Rates from the bottom of the round compared the top makes a big difference.. especially when you add up the cumulative effects of drafting behind everyone else for well over a decade.
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