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Where will the breaks be this year?
BLUE CHIPPERS
The break is usually in the 9-14 range, always with occasional one or two players rated as studs falling through. We could always wait and be lucky at 17 as we were with Wilfork.
RED CHIPPERS
Often it is said that 15-35 or 15 -50 or 15-65 give you almost the same quality player. Where is the break this year. Do you believe that pick 60 is close to 30 or 15?
IHMO, there are many of the same players being talked about at 17, 28 and 33. There are few who are said to "definitely" be there at 17 and will be very "unlikely to be there at 28 or even 33.
BOTTOM LINE
This type of situation often results in Belichick moving down a bit from 17 or 28, unless a stud falls through that Belichick judges womeone else will pick at 18-27. Or unless, Belichick has a couple of red chippers that he feels will be gone a few picks later.
WHAT SAY YOU ALL
Would you trade down to 27 or 29 to someone who gave you their 2nd at 59 or 71 (the draft value is about right)? That would give 2 in a row in the 1st and 2nd in addition to pick 33.
We would have 5 picks in the top 61.
ALTERNATIVELY OR IN ADDITION
If you don't like the end of the second, we could trade two seconds or a second and a third to move up.
THE KEY ISSUE
is where will the top quality end. I understand that even after this "break" there will be opportunities for a mid-round player anf diamond in the rough late.
BLUE CHIPPERS
The break is usually in the 9-14 range, always with occasional one or two players rated as studs falling through. We could always wait and be lucky at 17 as we were with Wilfork.
RED CHIPPERS
Often it is said that 15-35 or 15 -50 or 15-65 give you almost the same quality player. Where is the break this year. Do you believe that pick 60 is close to 30 or 15?
IHMO, there are many of the same players being talked about at 17, 28 and 33. There are few who are said to "definitely" be there at 17 and will be very "unlikely to be there at 28 or even 33.
BOTTOM LINE
This type of situation often results in Belichick moving down a bit from 17 or 28, unless a stud falls through that Belichick judges womeone else will pick at 18-27. Or unless, Belichick has a couple of red chippers that he feels will be gone a few picks later.
WHAT SAY YOU ALL
Would you trade down to 27 or 29 to someone who gave you their 2nd at 59 or 71 (the draft value is about right)? That would give 2 in a row in the 1st and 2nd in addition to pick 33.
We would have 5 picks in the top 61.
ALTERNATIVELY OR IN ADDITION
If you don't like the end of the second, we could trade two seconds or a second and a third to move up.
THE KEY ISSUE
is where will the top quality end. I understand that even after this "break" there will be opportunities for a mid-round player anf diamond in the rough late.
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