Quote:
Originally Posted by IllegalContact
at this point, I was figuring 5-1 with a loss at baltimore
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Every year (at least in the current Brady/Belichick era) I go into the season thinking that we'll be 12-4, or something close to it.
Every year, regardless of schedule, added talent, weak spots, etc, I go into the season with the following assumptions, right/wrong/indifferent:
1 loss to a divisional foe
1 loss at home
1 loss away
1 loss to a "WTF" team/game that comes unexplained
That is the 'formula' that I pretty much stick with every year, and in my opinion it is reasonable to assume as much.
So far this year, we have all of the losses in my 'formula' covered, besides the divisional foe--which we've only played 1 out of 6 games so far.
No, I didn't think we'd be 3-3 at this point, I can guarantee you that; but I did think that there was a realistic chance at 4-2 through 6 games.
As many have pointed out, the best place to start is going into the bye with a 5-3 record, which would be the same as last year. We've still seen some great things from this team so far this year, and we've seen improvements in the running game, in the balance, in the defensive front seven and the rookies, and arguably in the SE position--as Llyod appears to be an upgrade over Branch.
If the team can iron out some of their differences in the secondary scheme/talent/whatever, and have a little bit more luck, we have a decent shot at going 12-4 or 11-5 with momentum heading into the playoffs.