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Old 10-12-2009, 08:45 AM   #11
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Default Re: Why McDaniels made the early challenges.

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I considered it, but every team wants to have the ball and keep their defense off the field. HFA is a big deal in a lot of places. In Denver, the altitude may be a factor, but Josh wants to hold onto the ball even when they're on the road.

I don't really know what Josh was thinking. Maybe this was his reason. It happened at Denver's 41 yard line. If he left it unchallenged, the Pats were 3 or 4 yards away from a FG attempt. That's the only logical explanation for challenging it.

If that wasn't the case, then I don't know why he did it. The difference between 3rd and 7 and 3rd and 10 is pretty tiny (see here for 1st down probability chart based on yardage and down). Either way, a conversion was unlikely. The difference between the two is incredibly small to give up a huge thing like your final challenge.
Thanks for the link. It looks to be about about 41% to about 35%. It's a significant difference, but less than I figured it would be. Considering it was his second challenge, I have since changed my opinion.
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Old 10-12-2009, 10:15 AM   #12
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Default Re: Why McDaniels made the early challenges.

They were both poor challenges. The first one was a big play but it was obviously a fumble so all you do is waste a timeout and one of your challenges.

The second one was stupid because he was challenging 3 yards and there was still 40 minutes left in the game. It was either going to be 3rd and 10 or 3rd and 7 but since he lost his first challenge, this was going to be his final challenge win or lose.

He's damn lucky he didn't need those challenges at any point later in the game. Imagine if we saw a play like the incomplete pass returned for a touchdown we saw in the Atlanta game.
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Old 10-12-2009, 11:09 AM   #13
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Default Re: Why McDaniels made the early challenges

That second challenge had Mike Martz written all over it....
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Old 10-12-2009, 11:40 AM   #14
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Default Re: Why McDaniels made the early challenges

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McDaniels challenged both those plays in the first half because he understands his homefield advantage. There was small chance the challenge of the fumlbe wouldn't be overuled, but he knew that as long as he kept the game close, he'd have a great chance in the end. The second half at mile high is very tough on defenses, and historically Denver has always scored more points in the later quarters.

McDaniels also knows the higher time of possesion, the greater his home field advantage. He wanted his offense on the field as long as possible, and the early challenge on the 3 yard reception was for exactly that reason.

The people I was watching the game with thought they were very stupid challenges. I kept my mouth shut, but I didn't think either call challenge was "stupid". I probably wouldn't have challenged the fumble, but I understand why he did it, and I agree with the decision to challenge the 3 yard reception. If you can keep your oponent in long down and distance situations, you'll win the time of possession battle. McDaniel's challenges were right in-line with his game plan, NE's Time of Possession was 28:22, and Denver won the game.

The 2nd challenge was an absolutely horrible decision. I don't care what reasons are behind it, you do not waste your last challenge of the game that early for a relatively worthless 3 yards. I'll just chalk it up to the extreme emotions McDaniels obviously had that game.
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Old 10-12-2009, 11:46 AM   #15
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Default Re: Why McDaniels made the early challenges

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The people I was watching the game with thought they were very stupid challenges. I kept my mouth shut, but I didn't think either call challenge was "stupid". I probably wouldn't have challenged the fumble, but I understand why he did it, and I agree with the decision to challenge the 3 yard reception.
The challenges were stupid. He had 0% chance of winning the first challenge. At least there was an argument for the second challenge in that the 3 yards of field position his team was going to gain would both make it tougher for the Pats to get a first down (3rd and 10 instead of 3rd and 7) as well as possibly be the difference in attempting a field goal or making a field goal if it was attempted. That being said, I definately disagree with his choice.

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If you can keep your oponent in long down and distance situations, you'll win the time of possession battle. McDaniel's challenges were right in-line with his game plan, NE's Time of Possession was 28:22, and Denver won the game.
I think you're really stretching saying that the one play that required 3 extra yards to complete a first down was a significant factor in the TOP battle.
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Old 10-12-2009, 11:53 AM   #16
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Default Re: Why McDaniels made the early challenges

The challenges were both really, really bad. The fact that the Donkeys won in spite of them doesn't change that. Next you'll say they missed the FG on the opening drive on purpose too.
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Old 10-12-2009, 12:04 PM   #17
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Default Re: Why McDaniels made the early challenges

I didn't mind the first challenge. When you turnover the ball on your side of the field and the fumble is close to being downed, you call the challenge and hope there is an angle that shows the runner's knee down. It was close to being down when Moreno lost the ball. The full speed replay it was hard to tell. Slo-mo showed him clearly not down when he lost the ball though.

The second challenge was a waste of a challenge (well, unless it was his first or he already won the first challenge).
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