IMO, this is utter and complete nonsense.
First you might compare us to the 2022 HOU team.
=======
But, let's have the discussion again that we've had on 100 threads. And, yes we obviously disagree.
============
1) First, I would note that we were in the playoff picture through the last couple of game for the three years AB, even in the playoffs for one of those years.
2) We have analyzed the 2023 season before, during and after. Even ignoring the many, many injuries, for much of the season we believed that the two KEYS to our failure to be a playoff contender were QB play and OT play. And, of course, we needed a top receiver to be contender to go deep into the playoffs.
3) I won't use a wish list of free agents. We all have our favorites.
4) Our cap money (plus Jackson's money) is enough to re-sign our free agents and to sign a Tannehill type QB, a starting WR. a FS and an OT or two.
5) We can use our first 4 draft picks to fill in our needs and OT (and perhaps even a WR). More likely is one defensive pick. We need future help on the DL and at CB.
6) A wildcard is the open question of whether Kraft will allow the team to defer the "normal" percentage of contract accounts to the future.
That is the "magic" of the cap that cause so many to think that it doesn't matter. It certainly does matter. The patriots simply make poor use of it.
CONCLUSION
With Tannehill (or equivalent) starting for most of the season, we can be a contender for the playoffs in 2024. Yes, the issue is INDEED a 3 year plan to get deep into the playoffs and have a team that might contend for the AFC championship. That does indeed 3-4 years, barring a very good pick.