Stat Question

[Michigan Dave]

Sorry if this has been answered in another thread, believe it or not I've actually been busy at work today and unable to read the board. I did scan the titles, though.

Anyways, this ESPN article: http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs07/news/story?id=3190542

references Jacksonville as being #1 passing offense since week 10. Brady has averaged 302.85 ypg since that time and Garrard/Gray combined 232.5. Brady has 17 TDs and G/G 19 in 1 more game (regular season-only.) Does anyone know what they are referencing? Maybe team passer rating?

 

[ALP]

i believe it, the guy twisted the stats to get that result....

i mean, he came away with the jags running game being more efficient last 8 weeks for the pats then the jags...and that tells u something

 

[xmarkd400x]

The Patriots are actually pretty efficient at running the ball, they just haven't ran that often. I'm sure there is some cherry-picking of the stats here. Also note that they do not actually show you any of the stats.

 

[Oswlek]

Sorry if this has been answered in another thread, believe it or not I've actually been busy at work today and unable to read the board. I did scan the titles, though.

Anyways, this ESPN article: http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs07/news/story?id=3190542

references Jacksonville as being #1 passing offense since week 10. Brady has averaged 302.85 ypg since that time and Garrard/Gray combined 232.5. Brady has 17 TDs and G/G 19 in 1 more game (regular season-only.) Does anyone know what they are referencing? Maybe team passer rating?

This is based on footballoutsiders.com and their DVOA rating.

 

[alamo]

"The guy" is the well-known Aaron Schatz, who runs the Football Outsiders site. They analyze the game in a more sophisticated fashion than by just looking at the normal stats, similar in some ways to how Sabremetrics approaches baseball.

A key to their stats is their own charting of games play-by-play, looking not just at the statistical result but at the "success" of a play. For example, a 2 yard run on third and 2 from the 2 looks statistically the same as a 2 yard run on third and 10 from your own 20, but the first results in a TD and the latter results in a punt. Similarly, a thord down 2 yard run that produces a first down is more valuable than a third down 8 yard run which does not. The plays are weighted accordingly and also weighted based upon how good the defense is, generating a stat named DVOA.

It's more complicated than that, but if they say the Jags passing has been better lately I believe them.