Looking at the Patriot's SB teams

[glm]

I've been looking at stats of every SB winning team to find which one is the best and I figured I might as well post what I find from the Pats here.

The first thing I'm looking at are teams Adjusted Win% (right now just for the regular season, I haven't got to the playoffs yet). Basically I look at the records of their opponents then take the SB team's record out of the equation. Then I subtract the SB team's win% from their opponents loss% and get an adjusted percentage.

Before I show the adjusted percentage let's look at how hard our Patriot's teams schedules were.

3. 2014 Patriots = 127-112-1 = 53.13%.
13. 2004 Patriots = 124-116 = 51.67%.
20. 2003 Patriots = 122-118 = 50.83%.
39. 2016 Patriots = 109-128-3 = 46.04%.
40. 2001 Patriots = 110-130 = 45.83%.

Things that stand out the 2014 Patriots having the 3rd hardest schedule out of every SB winning team. The only two teams that had it tougher were 2. 2008 Steelers (129-108-3 = 54.38%) and 1. 1979 Steelers (131-109 = 54.58%). Didn't expect the 2016 Pats to come in at 39th but it is what it is.

I'd like to go ahead and point out the team that had the easiest schedule real quick. It was the 1999 Rams with their opponents having a record of 90-150 = 37.50%. Also of note is that 72 Dolphins had the 3rd easiest schedule with a record of 70-108-4 = 39.56%.

Anyways on to the adjusted percentages. Here's where the Pats' teams rank:

6. 2004 Patriots = 87.50-48.33 = 39.17%.
7. 2003 Patriots = 87.50-49.17 = 38.33%.
18. 2016 Patriots = 87.50-53.96 = 33.54%.
27. 2014 Patriots = 75.00-46.87 = 28.13%.
48. 2001 Patriots = 68.75-54.17 = 14.58%.

The number one ranked team was the 1985 Bears with 93.75-50.00 = 43.75% and the last ranked team was the 2011 Giants with 56.25-47.50 = 8.75%.

I'll keep you guys updated on what else I find. If anyone has any questions then feel free to ask.

 

[NormZauchin]

I've been looking at stats of every SB winning team to find which one is the best and I figured I might as well post what I find from the Pats here.

The first thing I'm looking at are teams Adjusted Win% (right now just for the regular season, I haven't got to the playoffs yet). Basically I look at the records of their opponents then take the SB team's record out of the equation. Then I subtract the SB team's win% from their opponents loss% and get an adjusted percentage.

Before I show the adjusted percentage let's look at how hard our Patriot's teams schedules were.

3. 2014 Patriots = 127-112-1 = 53.13%.
13. 2004 Patriots = 124-116 = 51.67%.
20. 2003 Patriots = 122-118 = 50.83%.
39. 2016 Patriots = 109-128-3 = 46.04%.
40. 2001 Patriots = 110-130 = 45.83%.

Things that stand out the 2014 Patriots having the 3rd hardest schedule out of every SB winning team. The only two teams that had it tougher were 2. 2008 Steelers (129-108-3 = 54.38%) and 1. 1979 Steelers (131-109 = 54.58%). Didn't expect the 2016 Pats to come in at 39th but it is what it is.

I'd like to go ahead and point out the team that had the easiest schedule real quick. It was the 1999 Rams with their opponents having a record of 90-150 = 37.50%. Also of note is that 72 Dolphins had the 3rd easiest schedule with a record of 70-108-4 = 39.56%.

Anyways on to the adjusted percentages. Here's where the Pats' teams rank:

6. 2004 Patriots = 87.50-48.33 = 39.17%.
7. 2003 Patriots = 87.50-49.17 = 38.33%.
18. 2016 Patriots = 87.50-53.96 = 33.54%.
27. 2014 Patriots = 75.00-46.87 = 28.13%.
48. 2001 Patriots = 68.75-54.17 = 14.58%.

The number one ranked team was the 1985 Bears with 93.75-50.00 = 43.75% and the last ranked team was the 2011 Giants with 56.25-47.50 = 8.75%.

I'll keep you guys updated on what else I find. If anyone has any questions then feel free to ask.

What is driving your final ranking is the number of wins of the Super Bowl winner, more than the strength of the opposition. Each win is worth 6.25%, so when Belichick sits his starters down in the last game because he has home field advantage clinched, or because the results of the last game won't change the Pats playoff seeding, the resulting loss disproportionately effects your results. Similarly, this applies to other teams.

 

[glm]

What is driving your final ranking is the number of wins of the Super Bowl winner, more than the strength of the opposition. Each win is worth 6.25%, so when Belichick sits his starters down in the last game because he has home field advantage clinched, or because the results of the last game won't change the Pats playoff seeding, the resulting loss disproportionately effects your results. Similarly, this applies to other teams.

1. Out of all the Belichick Pats teams listed, he's only sat his starters one time, and that was in 2014. So saying "when Belichick sits his starters" like it's a common occurrence is false. It's the exception.

2. Of course the stat is driven by wins. When you add in the strength of the opposition, it separates the teams that won a lot and had a tough schedule from the ones that won a lot and had it easy. That's why even though the 72 Dolphins won all of their games they had four teams ranked ahead of them. They get credit for winning all of their games but their weak schedule gets tooken into account.

3. It's not the end all of be all stat to judge a team. It's only part of the equation. I have more stats I'm calculating and they're all gonna be judged against their schedule, just like I did with win percentage.

 

[NormZauchin]

1. Out of all the Belichick Pats teams listed, he's only sat his starters one time, and that was in 2014. So saying "when Belichick sits his starters" like it's a common occurrence is false. It's the exception.

2. Of course the stat is driven by wins. When you add in the strength of the opposition, it separates the teams that won a lot and had a tough schedule from the ones that won a lot and had it easy. That's why even though the 72 Dolphins won all of their games they had four teams ranked ahead of them. They get credit for winning all of their games but their weak schedule gets tooken into account.

3. It's not the end all of be all stat to judge a team. It's only part of the equation. I have more stats I'm calculating and they're all gonna be judged against their schedule, just like I did with win percentage.

Of the Super Bowl teams, you are correct, but Belichick has sat starters in the last game of other seasons. As you mentioned you were also looking at other teams, giving starters a rest on the last day, if the game doesn't decide anything, is a common practice.

 

[glm]

Of the Super Bowl teams, you are correct, but Belichick has sat starters in the last game of other seasons. As you mentioned you were also looking at other teams, giving starters a rest on the last day, if the game doesn't decide anything, is a common practice.

That's why it's not the only stat I'm looking at, it's only part of the equation.

 

[RobertWeathers]

What about the eye test? You can't get more quantitative than that.