2015 NFL Office Pool Picker / Spread Calculator

mgcolby · Nov 10, 2015

jmt57 said:
@mgcolby

Curious: does your system take the typical three points for home field into account?

I didn't look very closely, but the W-L for Team Efficiency Rating (last column) comparison doesn't seem to do so - though I could have completely missed that.

Thanks...

It does in the predicted score. Gives 1.5 to the home team and deducts 1.5 from the away team vs 3 points directly to the home team.

TER runs straight up winner vs loser no formula in the scoring.

mgcolby · Nov 17, 2015

Great week for the picker...finally! I think the TER experiment is not good, will finish out the season but will most likely scrap it.

Week:
ATS: 11-3
SU: 9-5
TER: 7-7

Season:
ATS: 44-32-4 (58%)
SU: 54-30
TER: 24-17

mgcolby · Nov 17, 2015

This weeks picks

mgcolby · Nov 17, 2015

TER

jmt57 · Nov 17, 2015

mgcolby said:
Great week for the picker...finally! I think the TER experiment is not good, will finish out the season but will most likely scrap it.

Week:
ATS: 11-3
SU: 9-5
TER: 7-7

Season:
ATS: 44-32-4 (58%)
SU: 54-30
TER: 24-17

View attachment 11310

Interesting that in a week in which underdogs won ten games and favorites won only four games, your Team Efficiency Rating model worked quite well.

mgcolby · Nov 25, 2015

Another winning week for the picker not as nice as last week but a win is a win.
Week:
ATS: 8-6
SU: 7-7
TER: 6-8

Season:
ATS: 52-40-4 (57%)
SU: 59-37
TER: 30-25

mgcolby · Nov 25, 2015

Sorry for the late posting. Thanksgiving and all.

mgcolby · Nov 25, 2015

well it is what it is...I guess.

TER

2015 NFL Office Pool Picker / Spread Calculator

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