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From Insider anaylst Jeremy Green:
First, let's start with a little motivation.
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That's a reason the JAGs will win? It'll be a playoff game, and I'm pretty sure BOTH teams will be motivated.
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I couldn't believe the Jaguars did not have at least one player named to the Pro Bowl. In fact, I had to hit the TiVo rewind button and watch the AFC selections again to make sure I didn't miss something. In my opinion Garrard should have been named over Steelers QB Ben Roethlisberger and RB Fred Taylor should have gone over Colts RB Joseph Addai or Steelers RB Willie Parker. However, these players being snubbed will play into Del Rio's psychological approach with his team. He has pushed all the right buttons all season and this will be the next one.
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Maybe Fred Taylor should have made the ProBowl, but how does that make the Jags beat the Pats. Wes Welker should have made the Pro Bowl. So what?
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The second reason the Jaguars are going to win is because they are better equipped to win in Foxborough than the Patriots. Before their Week 15 game in Pittsburgh, I had one question left with the Jaguars -- could they get it done on a sloppy field in cold weather? They answered that by bullying one of the biggest bullies on the block and walked away with a statement win over the Steelers.
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Earth to Jeremy Green: There will be no sloppy field. Gillette has field turf.
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The third reason is the Patriots' run defense. Can anyone find it lately? Sure, the Patriots are ranked No. 10 against the run in the NFL, but that stat can get thrown out the window because it will be useless against the Jags.
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????? I won't even try to understand this one.
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My final reason the Patriots won't get past Jacksonville is Garrard.
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Garrard is a good player, but Brady is better:
Garrard: 16 TDs to 2 INTs
Brady: 46 TDs to 6 INTs
Garrard: 64.2 % completion
Brady: 69.2 % completion
Garrard: 101.6 passer tating
Brady: 119.2passer rating
Garrard: 4 passes over 40 yards
Brady: 13 passes over 40 yards
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I know people will laugh at me.
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Yeah, I agree.