Oswlek's formula shows up on CHFF - New England Patriots Forums

PonyExpress · 12-15-2007, 08:57 AM

http://coldhardfootballfacts.com/Art...fect_game.html

This is great stuff.

SeanBruschi54 · 12-15-2007, 09:05 AM

So technically we should have the number 1 overall pick.

***PatsWickedPissah*** · 12-15-2007, 09:08 AM

"Third, going for it on fourth down against New England does not incur much risk.
Normally, a team punts to pin an opponents deeper in their own territory. But distance has proven little obstacle to the New England offense this year.

The Patriots have scored touchdowns on over 60 percent of their offensive possessions when starting from inside their own 20 yard line. Is there really a downside to failing to convert a fourth down try? The upside is big: you get to keep the football for a few minutes more, and maybe score. The downside? New England's probably going to score whether you punt or not."

My corrolary to this is yes, go on 4th down against the Pats even if the Pats get good field position because if the Pats score quickly from a short field you'll get the ball back sooner and have a chance to tire the Pats D, their weakest link this season.

Oswlek · 12-15-2007, 12:23 PM

Those bastards!

Oh well, it saves me from having to do a ton of work come playoff time. Not that it really was going to be necessary this year, anyway.

kurtinelson · 12-15-2007, 07:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PonyExpress

http://coldhardfootballfacts.com/Art...fect_game.html

This is great stuff.

I have to admit that I was pinching my nipples while reading.

Rawky77 · 12-15-2007, 08:55 PM

"No matter how you attack the Patriots, you will need big breaks to win. As the Relativity Index data below shows, the Patriots are 9.7 points better than the second best team in the league, Indy. That 9.7-point gap is greater than the distance between the No. 2 team and the No. 9 team.

In games between teams rated more than 9 points apart this season, the higher-rated team has won 77 of 86 meetings (89.5%)."

This is an amazing stat and bodes well for the Pats going all the way 19-0

VJCPatriot · 12-15-2007, 09:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SeanBruschi54

So technically we should have the number 1 overall pick.

Actually normally it means we should get the #32 pick, but we're going to forfeit that thanks to Goodell and Ratgina.