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Old 10-04-2006, 11:34 AM   #11
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Default Re: Patriots 4th in Total Offense...

I think you may be right about the Jets. You look at the rest of their schedule and they seem to be a lock for 9 wins if Pennington is healthy. Likely wins in blue...

Sun 10/8 at Jacksonville 4:05 pm
Sun 10/15 Miami 4:15 pm
Sun 10/22 Detroit 1:00 pm
Sun 10/29 at Cleveland 4:15 pm
bye
Sun 11/12 at New England 1:00 pm
Sun 11/19 Chicago 1:00 pm
Sun 11/26 Houston 1:00 pm
Sun 12/3 at Green Bay 1:00 pm
Sun 12/10 Buffalo 1:00 pm
Sun 12/17 at Minnesota 1:00 pm
Mon 12/25 at Miami 8:30 pm
Sun 12/31 Oakland 1:00 pm

In fact, if the Jets some how beat Jax this week then Jesters would be a prime position to make the playoffs with a head to head win over Jax, another wildcard only team.
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Old 10-04-2006, 11:59 AM   #12
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Default Re: Patriots 4th in Total Offense...

Quote:
Originally Posted by Pat_Nasty
The stats that I pay the most attention to are FootballOutsider.com's. Are people on these boards pretty familiar with them?
Yeah they have our offense ranked 7th this week so that's in the same ballpark that we're talking. Defensively they have us 23rd - I am confident we're better than that although we'll have to eliminate the big plays we were allowing Weeks 2 & 3 for that to be true.

http://www.footballoutsiders.com/200...rankings/4335/
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Old 10-04-2006, 03:11 PM   #13
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Default Re: Patriots 4th in Total Offense...

Quote:
Originally Posted by BelichickFan
At the end of the season, sure. After 4 weeks, it's too small of a sample size to just look at points. If you're moving the ball consistently you're likely to find the points on the scoreboard at the end of the season even if you don't after 4 games. Just like I think our defense has played well despite being just OK in points based on some big plays which I don't expect to continue.
Exactly - which is why I say its a non-issue in September but not in January.

Still 4 games is 25% of the way through the regular season - its early but is a time when you start paying attention to trends.
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Old 10-04-2006, 09:45 PM   #14
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Default Re: Patriots 4th in Total Offense...

Quote:
Originally Posted by NEM
Here's a good reason why stats like these can be very deceiving.

When Jake Plummer was with the Cardinals, he had several seasons where he threw for a lot of yards, high numbers. On the surface it llooks good. But when you check deeper and go beyond the surface, you see that a lot of those yards, and TD's, etc. were late in the game, long after his ineptness put the Cardinals in the hole by a ton of points, so teams would play soft on him in the fourth quarter, allowing him to march the length of the field, several times, but then tightening up when he got closer to the goal line, and forced him back into mistakes.

It looked great for Plummer's individual stats, as he was piling up yards, and the receivers were piling up receptions...but the team still lost, lost and lost.

Stats are meaningless, for the most part....WIns count, nothing else.
Right - or Brady's all-time "greatest" season last year in terms of yards passing... gee, I kindof thought winning SBs made for a great season even if he didn't lead the league in passing (like another QB we know).

The Denver game is a perfect example - 55 passes thrown can make for some pretty impressive offensive stats.

The problem is, anytime Brady is throwing 55 passes we are in TROUBLE because it probably means we're down by a few TDs and have had to abandon a smashmouth, run the football, let the clock runout type of game plan.
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